The stretch lens on the tools advisors actually allocate with. vs 21/65/200d = distance from each trend (green above, red below).
Stretch % = where today's 200-day distance sits in the ETF's own 2023→current range (low = washed out, high = extended). Fwd 21d = the median
21-day return (and win-rate) from prior days in the same stretch zone since 2023. Read distills it into a tilt: ▲ Add candidate (oversold with a positive reversion edge),
▼ Extended / trim (stretched high with a negative forward), ● Trending, or on-trend. Sorted washed-out → extended within each group. A positioning gauge, not a timing trigger.
Sector · 11
| ETF | Name | vs 21d | vs 65d | vs 200d | Stretch % | Fwd 21d | Read |
|---|
| XLC | Comm. Services | -7.0% | -8.4% | -9.8% | 0th | +0.8% · 61% | ▲ Add candidate |
| XLI | Industrials | +1.2% | -2.0% | -1.3% | 6th | +3.2% · 63% | ▲ Add candidate |
| XLY | Cons. Discretionary | +2.7% | +1.7% | +0.8% | 26th | +1.4% · 61% | · On trend |
| XLU | Utilities | +3.6% | +2.6% | -1.4% | 26th | +0.8% · 58% | · On trend |
| XLRE | Real Estate | +2.8% | -0.1% | +0.5% | 39th | +0.5% · 55% | · On trend |
| XLB | Materials | +3.8% | +2.3% | +3.2% | 42th | +0.7% · 56% | · On trend |
| XLK | Technology | -1.9% | -0.0% | +11.5% | 48th | +2.4% · 72% | · On trend |
| XLF | Financials | +3.4% | +1.3% | +6.7% | 53th | +0.9% · 54% | · On trend |
| XLP | Cons. Staples | +2.8% | +3.8% | +4.9% | 74th | +0.8% · 62% | · On trend |
| XLE | Energy | +2.8% | +7.6% | +17.8% | 89th | +0.4% · 54% | ● Trending |
| XLV | Health Care | +5.3% | +7.8% | +16.6% | 100th | +0.1% · 52% | ● Trending |
Industry · 32
| ETF | Name | vs 21d | vs 65d | vs 200d | Stretch % | Fwd 21d | Read |
|---|
| SIL | Silver Miners | -7.3% | -14.9% | -16.6% | 1th | +3.3% · 61% | ▲ Add candidate |
| XME | Metals & Mining | -0.9% | -7.6% | -10.5% | 3th | +5.0% · 67% | ▲ Add candidate |
| WOOD | Timber | -1.8% | -6.8% | -7.5% | 4th | +2.1% · 72% | ▲ Add candidate |
| GDX | Gold Miners | -4.7% | -10.1% | -10.1% | 5th | +4.4% · 59% | ▲ Add candidate |
| ITA | Aerospace & Defense | +4.2% | -3.4% | -5.9% | 5th | +3.3% · 67% | ▲ Add candidate |
| COPX | Copper Miners | -5.9% | -11.7% | -9.1% | 7th | +3.2% · 65% | ▲ Add candidate |
| PAVE | Infrastructure | +2.6% | -0.3% | -0.3% | 10th | +2.9% · 71% | ▲ Add candidate |
| IYT | Transports | +1.1% | -2.0% | -0.4% | 16th | +3.8% · 76% | ▲ Add candidate |
| JETS | Airlines | +1.9% | -4.7% | -3.2% | 17th | +9.2% · 75% | ▲ Add candidate |
| XHB | Homebuilders | +3.9% | -0.4% | -4.2% | 21th | +2.4% · 63% | ▲ Add candidate |
| SMH | Semiconductors | -2.7% | -1.9% | +8.3% | 22th | +3.2% · 66% | ▲ Add candidate |
| IAI | Broker-Dealers | +2.0% | -2.1% | +0.9% | 24th | +3.1% · 67% | ▲ Add candidate |
| KBWB | Banks (KBW) | +3.3% | -2.3% | +2.5% | 29th | +3.4% · 68% | · On trend |
| AMLP | Midstream / MLPs | +1.7% | -0.6% | +3.9% | 30th | +1.9% · 71% | · On trend |
| FINX | Fintech | -0.9% | -5.4% | -3.8% | 32th | +0.6% · 53% | · On trend |
| REZ | Residential REITs | +1.1% | -2.0% | +0.3% | 34th | +0.6% · 55% | · On trend |
| KBE | Banks | +3.5% | -0.4% | +3.2% | 38th | +2.1% · 58% | · On trend |
| IBUY | Online Retail | +3.0% | +1.3% | +4.4% | 42th | +1.6% · 61% | · On trend |
| KRE | Regional Banks | +3.5% | +0.1% | +3.8% | 44th | +2.1% · 58% | · On trend |
| XRT | Retail | +3.4% | +2.8% | +3.8% | 49th | +1.0% · 57% | · On trend |
| OIH | Oil Services | +5.0% | +2.0% | +3.1% | 54th | -1.4% · 45% | · On trend |
| KIE | Insurance | +2.7% | +1.3% | +6.6% | 59th | +1.1% · 60% | · On trend |
| XPH | Pharmaceuticals | +3.0% | -3.2% | +6.1% | 61th | +0.2% · 51% | · On trend |
| IHI | Medical Devices | +4.6% | +3.9% | +3.8% | 64th | +0.9% · 58% | · On trend |
| XBI | Biotech (eq-wt) | +4.5% | +1.2% | +12.0% | 67th | +0.9% · 54% | · On trend |
| IGV | Software | -1.8% | +1.7% | +14.3% | 76th | +0.2% · 52% | ● Trending |
| FCG | Natural Gas | +4.3% | +5.7% | +11.4% | 85th | -2.1% · 38% | ▼ Extended / trim |
| SKYY | Cloud Computing | -0.5% | +2.6% | +22.6% | 90th | +0.3% · 52% | ● Trending |
| XOP | Oil & Gas E&P | +1.9% | +6.3% | +17.8% | 90th | -0.4% · 49% | ▼ Extended / trim |
| IBB | Biotech | +5.1% | +5.8% | +18.0% | 92th | +0.6% · 56% | ● Trending |
| CIBR | Cybersecurity | -1.2% | +3.7% | +25.2% | 94th | +2.0% · 60% | ● Trending |
| IHF | Health Providers | +3.0% | +5.0% | +16.4% | 97th | -0.1% · 50% | ▼ Extended / trim |
Factor / Style · 11
| ETF | Name | vs 21d | vs 65d | vs 200d | Stretch % | Fwd 21d | Read |
|---|
| IWF | Large Growth | -2.6% | -1.9% | +1.6% | 14th | +4.0% · 71% | ▲ Add candidate |
| MDY | Mid-Cap | +1.5% | -0.5% | +1.9% | 26th | +1.9% · 67% | · On trend |
| IWM | Small-Cap | +2.5% | -1.2% | +2.5% | 28th | +1.6% · 63% | · On trend |
| MTUM | Momentum | -2.5% | -2.6% | +3.5% | 30th | +2.3% · 71% | · On trend |
| QUAL | Quality | -0.3% | +0.6% | +6.0% | 33th | +1.5% · 71% | · On trend |
| SIZE | Size Factor | +2.0% | +1.1% | +5.5% | 45th | +1.6% · 69% | · On trend |
| RSP | S&P Equal-Weight | +2.5% | +1.7% | +6.3% | 58th | +1.7% · 69% | · On trend |
| VLUE | Value Factor | +0.5% | -0.4% | +11.5% | 71th | +1.3% · 62% | · On trend |
| USMV | Min-Volatility | +1.6% | +2.6% | +6.6% | 76th | +1.4% · 69% | ● Trending |
| IWD | Large Value | +2.1% | +2.2% | +9.9% | 82th | +1.3% · 61% | ● Trending |
| SCHD | Dividend | +4.2% | +4.4% | +11.0% | 88th | +0.8% · 59% | ● Trending |
Thematic · 18
| ETF | Name | vs 21d | vs 65d | vs 200d | Stretch % | Fwd 21d | Read |
|---|
| GLD | Gold | -2.5% | -6.2% | -11.0% | 0th | +1.0% · 61% | ▲ Add candidate |
| SLV | Silver | -9.1% | -16.0% | -26.6% | 0th | +2.3% · 63% | ▲ Add candidate |
| URA | Uranium | -2.6% | -13.2% | -23.5% | 1th | +2.9% · 59% | ▲ Add candidate |
| BOTZ | Robotics & AI | -2.7% | -5.7% | -8.7% | 4th | +4.3% · 69% | ▲ Add candidate |
| EEM | Emerging Markets | -3.4% | -5.4% | -1.8% | 6th | +2.2% · 75% | ▲ Add candidate |
| ICLN | Clean Energy | -5.3% | -9.4% | -16.2% | 8th | -1.0% · 42% | · Below trend |
| LIT | Lithium / Battery | -7.0% | -13.3% | -18.0% | 8th | +0.4% · 54% | · Below trend |
| TAN | Solar | -3.3% | -11.4% | -23.9% | 9th | -1.1% · 48% | · Below trend |
| FXI | China Large-Cap | -2.4% | -5.8% | -8.4% | 11th | -0.3% · 48% | · Below trend |
| DBA | Agriculture | -3.3% | -4.0% | -0.7% | 11th | +1.2% · 74% | ▲ Add candidate |
| EFA | Developed ex-US | +0.7% | -1.5% | +1.7% | 16th | +3.1% · 67% | ▲ Add candidate |
| EWJ | Japan | -1.6% | -1.6% | +3.7% | 22th | +2.7% · 79% | ▲ Add candidate |
| INDA | India | +1.1% | -2.1% | -3.7% | 25th | -0.1% · 49% | · On trend |
| MOO | Agribusiness | -0.9% | -3.1% | -2.0% | 35th | -0.7% · 43% | · On trend |
| UNG | Natural Gas | -11.0% | -10.4% | -17.4% | 49th | +0.7% · 52% | · On trend |
| ARKK | Disruptive Innovation | +0.3% | +2.2% | +10.4% | 61th | +0.7% · 53% | · On trend |
| DBC | Broad Commodities | +0.6% | +4.9% | +14.8% | 87th | +3.5% · 69% | ● Trending |
| USO | Crude Oil | +6.1% | +15.2% | +34.1% | 91th | +2.1% · 56% | ● Trending |
Fixed Income · 8
| ETF | Name | vs 21d | vs 65d | vs 200d | Stretch % | Fwd 21d | Read |
|---|
| HYG | High Yield | +0.5% | -0.7% | -0.5% | 4th | +0.8% · 72% | ▲ Add candidate |
| EMB | EM Bonds | +1.0% | -0.6% | -1.1% | 6th | +1.5% · 67% | ▲ Add candidate |
| LQD | Inv-Grade Credit | +1.0% | -0.1% | -1.7% | 8th | +0.8% · 62% | ▲ Add candidate |
| IEF | 7-10yr Treasuries | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.5% | 14th | +0.6% · 59% | ▲ Add candidate |
| MUB | Municipals | +1.6% | +0.5% | -0.9% | 14th | +0.0% · 50% | · Below trend |
| SHY | 1-3yr Treasuries | +0.3% | +0.3% | +0.6% | 17th | +0.2% · 83% | ▲ Add candidate |
| TIP | TIPS | +1.1% | +0.3% | -0.5% | 17th | +0.4% · 56% | ▲ Add candidate |
| TLT | 20+yr Treasuries | +2.4% | +0.8% | -2.4% | 31th | -0.7% · 43% | · On trend |
How to use it. Pair with the concentration picture: when the cap-weighted index is crowded into a few mega-caps, the ▲ Add candidates are where the diversification opportunity is
statistically set up, and the ▼ Extended names are where the crowding risk sits. Forward windows overlap (not de-clustered) — treat the sample as context. Refreshes every build.