Testing Hub
Every forward-probability testing bucket on one bench · October 29, 2026 · 4:03 PM ET

The testing bench — every bucket, side by side

Each card is one forward-probability study the platform runs nightly, with its freshness, its idea count and its top three. Below them, the confluence grid: every name any bucket surfaced, with a dot in each bucket that agrees — names in two or more buckets float to the top, names called both ways are flagged, and anything already on the Desk is marked held. This page ranks nothing; it shows where the studies agree and where they don't. STORM 50 and the Ensemble 25 are not buckets here (removed Oct 10, 2026): they re-rank the same scanner feeds, so they would count Range-Close twice as agreement. Names governed by a Regime Protocol theme carry a regime chip — hover for the three reads (history · regime · blended); a dot on the chip means the regime's health monitor is flagging it.

Energy · war regimeregime intact

since 2026-03-01 · governs 19 of tonight's ideas
pooled completed-reversal 54% → 64% in the regime (n229, +10 pts) · last 60 sessions 71% (n70)
top themed idea: RB=F long · 100% · +9.9%

Rates - bond complex + curvesFADING - last 60 sessions

since 2026-03-01 · governs 0 of tonight's ideas
pooled completed-reversal 54% → 34% in the regime (n141, -20 pts) · last 60 sessions 29% (n31)
top themed idea: no themed idea tonight

Memory · DRAM cycleFADING - last 60 sessions

since 2025-08-01 · governs 2 of tonight's ideas
pooled completed-reversal 58% → 86% in the regime (n72, +28 pts) · last 60 sessions 40% (n10)
top themed idea: STX short · 66%/36 · +3.1%

Semis · capex chainFADING - last 60 sessions

since 2025-08-01 · governs 12 of tonight's ideas
pooled completed-reversal 59% → 68% in the regime (n293, +9 pts) · last 60 sessions 52% (n46)
top themed idea: ARM long · 78% · +10.1%
8
buckets
86
ideas tonight
73
distinct name·direction
5
in ≥2 buckets
1
called both ways
2
already held
33
under a regime

Testing 15 — the best across every bucket

The same list that heads the terminal Radar. 52 name/direction pairs pooled, 31 cleared the bar: a measured base rate, edge ≥ +5 points, n ≥ 15, a positive median. Edge is the evidence-weighted average across every bucket that measured one, shrunk for sample size, with a bonus when buckets agree. Near-duplicates are one trade (60-day returns correlated > 0.85). Left off: conflicts (CT=F) and names already held the same way (none). Hover the buckets column for each bucket's own read. Built 2026-10-29 16:03.
#IdeaEdge (pts)Win / baseMediannBucketsOne trade withStudy
1MLM long+26.079% / 53%+3.25%441 Daily TestingVMCDaily Testing →
2ISRG long+32.088% / 56%+4.39%251 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
3STX short Aug-25 blend+30.066% / 36%+3.15%201 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
4SLB long Mar-26 blend+22.075% / 53%+4.95%291 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
5PWR short+24.067% / 43%+3.61%211 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
6PANW long+16.077% / 61%+3.03%521 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
7NOC long+23.078% / 55%+2.00%181 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
8CTVA short+12.057% / 45%+0.51%1081 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
9DASH short+10.052% / 42%+1.66%1751 Daily Testing—Daily Testing →
10MSTR/IBIT long+13.064% / 51%+1.49%441 Weekly Spreads—Weekly Spreads →
11HE=F long+12.058% / 46%+1.23%481 Daily Testing - commodities—Daily Testing - commodities →
12BKR long Mar-26 blend+9.063% / 54%+1.79%3161 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
13ACN long+8.062% / 54%+0.95%3911 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
14QCOM long Aug-25 blend+8.062% / 54%+1.10%3451 Weekly Ideas—Weekly Ideas →
15VLUE/SPY long+9.060% / 51%+0.82%981 Weekly Spreads—Weekly Spreads →

Daily Testing · equities

fresh · 2026-10-29
4 ideas
Candle & reversal setups on the top-250 stocks / 75 ETFs (hammers, stars, 2%/5% intraday reversals, open-&-go) → forward-probability studies with each name's own base rate.
  • MLM long · 79%/53 · +3.2% n44
    ↩ 2%/5% Reversal
  • VMC long · 73%/56 · +2.5% n45
    ↩ 2%/5% Reversal
  • AVGO long Aug-25 blend · 64%/59 · +2.2% n378
    🔨 Hammer
Open the study →

Daily Testing · commodities

fresh · 2026-10-29
5 ideas
The same daily setups on the 20 commodity futures.
  • ZM=F short · 66%/56 · +1.8% n67
    ⭐ Star
  • CL=F long Mar-26 blend · 62%/54 · +4.2% n69
    🔨 Hammer
  • CT=F long · 59%/47 · +1.0% n52
    🔨 Hammer
Open the study →

Weekly Ideas

stale · 2026-10-23
24 ideas
Weekly-candle signals on equities (Mon open → Fri close), edge measured on prior weekly analogs. Week ending Oct 23, 2026.
  • NDAQ long · 93%/58 · +2.6% n9
    ↩ 4%/10% Reversal
  • LMT long · 89%/56 · +0.6% n9
    🚀 Weekly Open & Go
  • ISRG long · 88%/56 · +4.4% n25
    ↩ 4%/10% Reversal
Open the study →

Weekly Spreads & Commodities

stale · 2026-10-23
17 ideas
Weekly-candle signals on futures and tradeable ratio spreads. Week ending Oct 23, 2026.
  • RB=F long Mar-26 blend · 66%/64 · +6.8% n129
    Weekly Hammer
  • HO=F long Mar-26 blend · 66%/62 · +2.2% n129
    Weekly Hammer
  • LE=F long · 64%/67 · +1.3% n126
    Weekly Hammer
Open the study →

Top-5 Days · Semis & Memory

fresh · 2026-10-28
0 ideas
Stocks that printed one of their 5 biggest up-days of the past year on the last session, with the regime-blended 10-session odds against their own base (listed only when they beat it).
  • nothing surfaced
Open the study →

Gap-Open Regime · standouts

fresh · 2026-10-29
33 ideas
Single names whose own forward path after a significant gap beats their pool (tested + mirror lens); LIVE = gapping into the trigger today.
  • RB=F long Mar-26 blend · 100% · +9.9% n3.0
    gap -3.0% · Energy futures (outright) · mirror
  • DINO long Mar-26 blend · 100% · +4.8% n5.0
    gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
  • BZ=F long Mar-26 blend · 83% · +3.4% n6.0
    gap -3.0% · Energy futures (outright) · mirror
Open the study →

Reversal Band

fresh · 2026-10-28
0 ideas
Regime-tested forward returns after a bearish reversal at the highs (new 20-day high, open-high / close-low or outside reversal). Names with today's own detection.
  • nothing surfaced
Open the study →

Range-Close Reversals

fresh · 2026-10-29
3 ideas
Daily close-in-range + intraday-reversal scan; feeds STORM 50 and the Ensemble.
  • XEL long · 61% · +0.6% n433.0
    Completed reversal from the low · clr 98 · net +2.5% · rng 3.0% · rank #1
  • IBM long · 61% · +0.7% n344.0
    Completed reversal from the low · clr 91 · net +0.7% · rng 3.1% · rank #2
  • ITW long · 60% · +0.5% n346.0
    Completed reversal from the low · clr 98 · net +1.4% · rng 1.6% · rank #3
Open the study →

Next bucket

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Every new forward-probability study lands here automatically once it exports a JSON slate — the hub reads the file, not the page.

Confluence · names in two or more buckets

Agreement across independent studies is the signal the Ensemble prices as confluence — here it's visible across every bucket, including the ones the Ensemble doesn't pool (Daily Testing, Weekly, Gap-Open, Reversal Band). Hover a dot for that bucket's lead signal.
Name · directionDaily · EqDaily · CmdtyWeekly IdeasWk SpreadsTop-5 Days · Semis & MemoryGap-OpenReversal BandRange-Closebest win · medlead signal
RB=F long Mar-26 blend×2●●100% · +9.9%gap -3.0% · Energy futures (outright) · mirror
HO=F long Mar-26 blend×2●●80% · +11.9%gap 3.0% · Energy futures (outright)
AVGO long Aug-25 blend×2●●67% · +0.3%gap 5.0% · Semi / AI single names · mirror
ZM=F short×2●●66%/56 · +1.8%⭐ Star
CL=F long Mar-26 blend×2●●62%/54 · +4.2%🔨 Hammer

Called both ways

The same name long in one bucket and short in another — a real disagreement to resolve, not a silent cancel.
CT=F: LONG (dtc) vs SHORT (wks)
Single-bucket names (68) — the long tail
Name · directionDaily · EqDaily · CmdtyWeekly IdeasWk SpreadsTop-5 Days · Semis & MemoryGap-OpenReversal BandRange-Closewin · medlead signal
DINO long Mar-26 blend●100% · +4.8%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
NDAQ long●93%/58 · +2.6%↩ 4%/10% Reversal
LMT long●89%/56 · +0.6%🚀 Weekly Open & Go
ISRG long●88%/56 · +4.4%↩ 4%/10% Reversal
BZ=F long Mar-26 blend●83% · +3.4%gap -3.0% · Energy futures (outright) · mirror
PH short●81%/34 · +4.0%🚀 Weekly Open & Go
VLO long Mar-26 blend●80% · +8.2%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
MLM long●79%/53 · +3.2%↩ 2%/5% Reversal
ARM long Aug-25 blend●78% · +10.1%gap -5.0% · Semi / AI single names
NOC long●78%/55 · +2.0%🚀 Weekly Open & Go
PANW long●77%/61 · +3.0%↩ 4%/10% Reversal
DK long Mar-26 blend●75% · +3.8%gap 3.0% · Energy single names
EOG long Mar-26 blend●75% · +3.4%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
PSX long Mar-26 blend●75% · +2.7%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
SLB long Mar-26 blend●75%/53 · +5.0%🚀 Weekly Open & Go
SPY long held · short●75% · +2.0%gap -1.25% · Index backdrop
VMC long●73%/56 · +2.5%↩ 2%/5% Reversal
ASML long Aug-25 blend●71% · +7.6%gap 5.0% · Semi / AI single names · mirror
AMD long Aug-25 blend●67% · +1.1%gap -5.0% · Semi / AI single names
DIA long●67% · +0.8%gap 1.25% · Index backdrop · mirror
IJR long●67%/62 · +1.4%🔨 Weekly Hammer
IWM long●67% · +1.5%gap 1.25% · Index backdrop · mirror
MPC long Mar-26 blend held · short●67% · +2.2%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
OXY long Mar-26 blend●67% · +4.2%gap -3.0% · Energy single names · mirror
PWR short●67%/43 · +3.6%↩ 4%/10% Reversal
STX short Aug-25 blend●66%/36 · +3.1%🔁 Weekly Reversal
URI long●66%/59 · +2.0%🔨 Weekly Hammer
LE=F long●64%/67 · +1.3%Weekly Hammer
LRCX long Aug-25 blend●64% · +6.5%gap 5.0% · Semi / AI single names · mirror
MSTR/IBIT long●64%/51 · +1.5%Weekly Hammer
BKR long Mar-26 blend●63%/54 · +1.8%🔨 Weekly Hammer
ACN long●62%/54 · +0.9%🔨 Weekly Hammer
MU long Aug-25 blend●62% · +8.3%gap 5.0% · Semi / AI single names · mirror
QCOM long Aug-25 blend●62%/54 · +1.1%🔨 Weekly Hammer
SMH long Aug-25 blend●62% · +2.9%gap -3.0% · Semi / AI ETFs
XLE/TAN long Mar-26 blend●62%/61 · +4.8%Weekly Hammer
COIN short●61%/54 · +2.9%⭐ Weekly Star
DVN long Mar-26 blend●61%/54 · +1.1%🔨 Weekly Hammer
IBM long●61% · +0.7%Completed reversal from the low · clr 91 · net +0.7% · rng 3.1% · rank #2
ICE long●61%/56 · +1.1%🔨 Weekly Hammer
QQQ long●61% · +1.2%gap -1.25% · Index backdrop
XEL long●61% · +0.6%Completed reversal from the low · clr 98 · net +2.5% · rng 3.0% · rank #1
ITW long●60% · +0.5%Completed reversal from the low · clr 98 · net +1.4% · rng 1.6% · rank #3
VLUE/SPY long●60%/51 · +0.8%Weekly Hammer
CT=F long ⚠ both ways●59%/47 · +1.0%🔨 Hammer
SOXQ long Aug-25 blend●59% · +3.4%gap -3.0% · Semi / AI ETFs
ABT long●58%/52 · +0.9%🔨 Weekly Hammer
AMAT long Aug-25 blend●58% · +1.2%gap 5.0% · Semi / AI single names · mirror
BSX long●58%/53 · +1.3%🔨 Weekly Hammer
HD long●58%/52 · +0.7%🔨 Weekly Hammer
HE=F long●58%/46 · +1.2%🔨 Hammer
MRVL long Aug-25 blend●58% · +3.1%LIVE gap -5.0% · Semi / AI single names
XSD long Aug-25 blend●58% · +3.5%gap 3.0% · Semi / AI ETFs · mirror
CTVA short●57%/45 · +0.5%⭐ Weekly Star
ZL=F long●57%/53 · +1.1%Weekly Hammer
NG=F short Mar-26 blend●56%/49 · +1.4%4%/10% Reversal
NQ=F/CL=F short Mar-26 blend●56%/51 · +3.1%Weekly Star
SPY/XLE short Mar-26 blend●56%/54 · +2.0%Weekly Star
CT=F short ⚠ both ways●55%/50 · +0.5%Weekly Star
PSCE/IJR long Mar-26 blend●55%/51 · +1.8%Weekly Hammer
Reading the grid. Win % is each bucket's own forward hit-rate at its own horizon (Daily Testing shows win/base); medians are favorable-direction moves. Buckets measure different things over different horizons, so a dot means "this study also flags it," not "same odds." Gap-Open standouts are read as long (bounce or continuation in the name's favor); Reversal Band names are read as short. Held = a live position on the AQI desk in that ticker or ratio. Educational research, not advice.