Every stock, ETF, commodity future and ratio spread in the universe (446), scanned each day on four inputs: its distance from the 5, 21, 65 and 200-day moving averages, each ranked against the instrument's own full history (no look-ahead). It appears below when at least one of the four is at the 95th-100th percentile (stretched high) or the 0-5th (stretched low).
For every triggered leg: the total odds at +5, +10, +21 and +63 sessions from every past episode of that same leg at that same extreme — chance of being up vs the instrument's normal drift, median, sample size — and the group verdict (fade or momentum) for that leg in its asset class. Group verdicts are the tradeable call: decided on data before 2023-01-01, corrected for how many setups we test (q ≤ 0.2), and confirmed on 2023+ (✓ = admitted). Admitted setups go to the Auto Zone shadow book first.
| Instrument | Legs today (percentile of history) | Triggered legs: total odds and group verdict | Shadow trade |
|---|---|---|---|
| META/QQQMETA vs QQQRatio spreads · 0.8441 · vol 39.2% | 5d 221d 265d 24200d 262 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -4.57% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 42% vs 49.6% -7.2med -0.49% · n33no group edge +10d 46% vs 49.5% -4.0med -0.23% · n33no group edge +21d 42% vs 51.3% -8.9med -1.58% · n33no group edge +63d 48% vs 51.8% -3.4med -0.86% · n31no group edge 21-day leg low · 1.6th pct · -11.96% from MA · fresh episode +5d 67% vs 49.6% +17.1med +1.23% · n21fade long ✓ +10d 71% vs 49.5% +21.9med +3.06% · n21fade long ✓ +21d 62% vs 51.3% +10.6med +0.53% · n21fade long +63d 52% vs 51.8% +0.6med +2.52% · n21no group edge | long 10d · shadowratio pair: long META / short QQQwin 66.9% vs 49.5% · Blend 6.33% |
| CTVAStocks · 11.33 · vol 31.8% | 5d 121d 165d 0200d 04 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 1.3th pct · -5.93% from MA · fresh episode +5d 59% vs 53.8% +5.0med +1.13% · n17no group edge +10d 53% vs 54.8% -1.9med +0.73% · n17no group edge +21d 75% vs 56.9% +18.1med +2.68% · n16no group edge +63d 60% vs 59.8% +0.2med +7.66% · n15no group edge 21-day leg low · 0.8th pct · -12.03% from MA · fresh episode +5d 50% vs 53.8% -3.8med +0.28% · n14no group edge +10d 50% vs 54.8% -4.8med +0.17% · n14no group edge +21d 71% vs 56.9% +14.5med +4.14% · n14no group edge +63d 75% vs 59.8% +15.2med +8.87% · n12no group edge 65-day leg low · 0.4th pct · -19.20% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-01 +5d 88% vs 53.8% +33.7med +4.10% · n8fade long ✓ +10d 88% vs 54.8% +32.7med +3.62% · n8no group edge +21d 100% vs 56.9% +43.1med +4.21% · n7no group edge +63d 71% vs 59.8% +11.6med +15.77% · n7no group edge 200-day leg low · 0.4th pct · -19.94% from MA · fresh episode +5d 67% vs 53.8% +12.9med +1.05% · n6fade long ✓ +10d 50% vs 54.8% -4.8med +2.22% · n6no group edge +21d 40% vs 56.9% -16.9med -0.92% · n5no group edge +63d 20% vs 59.8% -39.8med -2.64% · n5no group edge | admitted: fade long 5d200d-low · win 63.1% vs 53.8% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| TStocks · 20.7 · vol 28.6% | 5d 421d 065d 1200d 24 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.9th pct · -2.51% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-17 +5d 53% vs 53.0% -0.1med +0.24% · n85no group edge +10d 55% vs 52.9% +2.4med +0.56% · n85no group edge +21d 53% vs 54.5% -1.6med +0.60% · n85no group edge +63d 63% vs 59.0% +4.1med +2.89% · n84no group edge 21-day leg low · 0.5th pct · -9.68% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-09 +5d 71% vs 53.0% +17.7med +0.82% · n41no group edge +10d 51% vs 52.9% -1.7med +0.25% · n41no group edge +21d 52% vs 54.5% -2.0med +0.33% · n40no group edge +63d 62% vs 59.0% +3.5med +3.25% · n40no group edge 65-day leg low · 0.8th pct · -14.36% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-21 +5d 70% vs 53.0% +17.4med +0.57% · n27fade long ✓ +10d 58% vs 52.9% +4.8med +0.56% · n26no group edge +21d 42% vs 54.5% -12.2med -1.02% · n26no group edge +63d 65% vs 59.0% +6.4med +2.67% · n26no group edge 200-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -15.38% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-23 +5d 59% vs 53.0% +6.1med +0.45% · n22fade long ✓ +10d 46% vs 52.9% -7.4med -0.06% · n22no group edge +21d 50% vs 54.5% -4.5med +0.15% · n22no group edge +63d 73% vs 59.0% +13.7med +4.43% · n22no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-10-23; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| KLACStocks · 158.77 · vol 60.7% | 5d 9721d 265d 2200d 44 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.4th pct · +5.13% from MA · fresh episode +5d 56% vs 56.8% -0.6med +1.21% · n73no group edge +10d 63% vs 58.5% +4.5med +3.10% · n73no group edge +21d 67% vs 60.9% +6.2med +3.52% · n73no group edge +63d 70% vs 68.3% +2.1med +10.90% · n71no group edge 21-day leg low · 1.7th pct · -10.74% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 72% vs 56.8% +15.7med +1.55% · n40no group edge +10d 59% vs 58.5% +0.5med +0.59% · n39no group edge +21d 72% vs 60.9% +10.9med +4.76% · n39no group edge +63d 74% vs 68.3% +5.4med +11.30% · n38no group edge 65-day leg low · 2.4th pct · -13.18% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 69% vs 56.8% +12.4med +2.16% · n26fade long ✓ +10d 72% vs 58.5% +13.5med +4.61% · n25no group edge +21d 56% vs 60.9% -4.9med +1.91% · n25no group edge +63d 62% vs 68.3% -5.8med +8.22% · n24no group edge 200-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -12.58% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 50% vs 56.8% -6.8med +0.12% · n10fade long ✓ +10d 60% vs 58.5% +1.5med +1.73% · n10no group edge +21d 80% vs 60.9% +19.1med +1.81% · n10no group edge +63d 80% vs 68.3% +11.7med +16.86% · n10no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| WATStocks · 476.88 · vol 35.2% | 5d 9621d 9665d 96200d 984 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.2th pct · +3.19% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-21 +5d 49% vs 54.8% -5.4med -0.03% · n85no group edge +10d 46% vs 56.1% -9.7med -0.53% · n84no group edge +21d 58% vs 56.9% +1.4med +1.27% · n84no group edge +63d 58% vs 61.7% -3.9med +4.47% · n83no group edge 21-day leg high · 96.3th pct · +7.80% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 54.8% -1.1med +0.74% · n41no group edge +10d 56% vs 56.1% +0.0med +0.94% · n41no group edge +21d 51% vs 56.9% -5.7med +0.60% · n41no group edge +63d 60% vs 61.7% -1.7med +3.36% · n40no group edge 65-day leg high · 95.7th pct · +13.21% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 54.8% +3.1med +0.90% · n19fade short ✓ +10d 53% vs 56.1% -3.5med +0.11% · n19fade short ✓ +21d 42% vs 56.9% -14.8med -0.31% · n19fade short ✓ +63d 61% vs 61.7% -0.6med +1.92% · n18no group edge 200-day leg high · 97.9th pct · +29.33% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-21 +5d 64% vs 54.8% +8.8med +0.07% · n11fade short ✓ +10d 50% vs 56.1% -6.1med -0.13% · n10no group edge +21d 60% vs 56.9% +3.1med +1.59% · n10no group edge +63d 60% vs 61.7% -1.7med +2.01% · n10no group edge | admitted: fade short 5d65d-high · win 45.1% vs 45.2% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| GLWStocks · 131.2 · vol 74.3% | 5d 9621d 365d 4200d 54 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 95.5th pct · +3.65% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 54.8% -2.5med +0.57% · n65no group edge +10d 65% vs 55.2% +9.4med +1.24% · n65no group edge +21d 66% vs 57.3% +8.9med +3.04% · n65no group edge +63d 76% vs 59.5% +16.7med +6.38% · n63no group edge 21-day leg low · 3.1th pct · -8.75% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 40% vs 54.8% -14.8med -1.42% · n25no group edge +10d 56% vs 55.2% +0.8med +0.95% · n25no group edge +21d 67% vs 57.3% +9.4med +2.41% · n24no group edge +63d 50% vs 59.5% -9.5med +1.63% · n24no group edge 65-day leg low · 3.9th pct · -12.67% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 31% vs 54.8% -24.0med -0.62% · n13fade long ✓ +10d 58% vs 55.2% +3.1med +0.47% · n12no group edge +21d 67% vs 57.3% +9.4med +4.27% · n12no group edge +63d 58% vs 59.5% -1.2med +3.48% · n12no group edge 200-day leg low · 4.8th pct · -15.31% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 40% vs 54.8% -14.8med -1.63% · n5fade long ✓ +10d 60% vs 55.2% +4.8med +1.34% · n5no group edge +21d 40% vs 57.3% -17.3med -0.30% · n5no group edge +63d 80% vs 59.5% +20.5med +6.84% · n5no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| ROPStocks · 440.66 · vol 30.8% | 5d 6421d 10065d 98200d 1003 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 99.9th pct · +13.95% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 50% vs 56.3% -6.3med +0.01% · n22no group edge +10d 57% vs 56.9% +0.2med +0.24% · n21no group edge +21d 62% vs 58.1% +3.8med +2.67% · n21no group edge +63d 60% vs 65.2% -5.2med +2.00% · n20no group edge 65-day leg high · 98.0th pct · +12.67% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 60% vs 56.3% +3.7med +1.20% · n10fade short ✓ +10d 60% vs 56.9% +3.1med +2.66% · n10fade short ✓ +21d 80% vs 58.1% +21.9med +4.84% · n10fade short ✓ +63d 60% vs 65.2% -5.2med +6.82% · n10no group edge 200-day leg high · 99.8th pct · +21.42% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 83% vs 56.3% +27.0med +0.77% · n6fade short ✓ +10d 83% vs 56.9% +26.4med +2.61% · n6no group edge +21d 83% vs 58.1% +25.2med +3.26% · n6no group edge +63d 83% vs 65.2% +18.1med +4.60% · n6no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| ACNStocks · 243.4 · vol 49.6% | 5d 1521d 9965d 100200d 1003 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 99.2th pct · +10.38% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-01 +5d 62% vs 58.1% +4.4med +0.40% · n32no group edge +10d 69% vs 58.7% +10.1med +2.32% · n32no group edge +21d 55% vs 61.0% -6.2med +0.52% · n31no group edge +63d 48% vs 65.2% -16.8med -0.98% · n31no group edge 65-day leg high · 99.8th pct · +26.45% from MA · stretched since 2026-08-07 +5d 57% vs 58.1% -1.0med +0.28% · n21fade short ✓ +10d 48% vs 58.7% -11.1med -1.29% · n21fade short ✓ +21d 33% vs 61.0% -27.7med -1.56% · n21fade short ✓ +63d 45% vs 65.2% -20.2med -4.20% · n20no group edge 200-day leg high · 99.8th pct · +29.25% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 82% vs 58.1% +23.7med +0.39% · n11fade short ✓ +10d 70% vs 58.7% +11.3med +1.03% · n10no group edge +21d 70% vs 61.0% +9.0med +3.02% · n10no group edge +63d 50% vs 65.2% -15.2med +1.47% · n10no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| XMMO/MDYMidCap Momentum vs MidCapRatio spreads · 0.208 · vol 13.2% | 5d 9421d 265d 1200d 03 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 1.9th pct · -3.75% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 54% vs 56.8% -3.0med +0.69% · n13fade long ✓ +10d 58% vs 58.0% +0.3med +0.76% · n12fade long ✓ +21d 42% vs 60.9% -19.2med -0.91% · n12fade long +63d 54% vs 62.5% -8.0med +1.66% · n11no group edge 65-day leg low · 1.0th pct · -6.18% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 29% vs 56.8% -28.2med -1.02% · n7no group edge +10d 17% vs 58.0% -41.3med -0.65% · n6no group edge +21d 17% vs 60.9% -44.2med -2.53% · n6no group edge +63d 67% vs 62.5% +4.2med +0.92% · n6no group edge 200-day leg low · 0.5th pct · -10.20% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-12 +5d 67% vs 56.8% +9.9med +0.40% · n6no group edge +10d 50% vs 58.0% -8.0med -0.68% · n6no group edge +21d 60% vs 60.9% -0.9med +0.04% · n5momentum short +63d 50% vs 62.5% -12.5med -1.50% · n4no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-low stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| BAStocks · 167.14 · vol 35.7% | 5d 121d 265d 2200d 53 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 0.9th pct · -7.10% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 53.3% -1.2med +0.25% · n73no group edge +10d 62% vs 55.1% +6.5med +1.46% · n73no group edge +21d 55% vs 55.6% -0.8med +1.36% · n73no group edge +63d 54% vs 57.9% -4.4med +1.20% · n71no group edge 21-day leg low · 2.1th pct · -10.78% from MA · fresh episode +5d 63% vs 53.3% +9.4med +1.51% · n51no group edge +10d 67% vs 55.1% +11.6med +2.94% · n51no group edge +21d 65% vs 55.6% +9.1med +2.86% · n51no group edge +63d 66% vs 57.9% +8.1med +6.33% · n50no group edge 65-day leg low · 2.3th pct · -18.54% from MA · fresh episode +5d 68% vs 53.3% +14.6med +1.28% · n28fade long ✓ +10d 75% vs 55.1% +19.9med +3.74% · n28no group edge +21d 68% vs 55.6% +12.3med +5.48% · n28no group edge +63d 70% vs 57.9% +12.5med +5.64% · n27no group edge | admitted: fade long 5d65d-low · win 66.1% vs 53.3% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| BKNGStocks · 147.94 · vol 37.7% | 5d 521d 665d 1200d 43 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.9th pct · -3.70% from MA · fresh episode +5d 56% vs 55.6% +0.9med +0.99% · n62no group edge +10d 55% vs 56.7% -1.9med +0.96% · n62no group edge +21d 60% vs 58.8% +0.9med +2.57% · n62no group edge +63d 62% vs 61.7% +0.6med +6.08% · n61no group edge 65-day leg low · 0.9th pct · -18.18% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-18 +5d 56% vs 55.6% +0.9med +1.10% · n23fade long ✓ +10d 70% vs 56.7% +12.9med +1.10% · n23no group edge +21d 70% vs 58.8% +10.8med +6.04% · n23no group edge +63d 68% vs 61.7% +6.5med +5.50% · n22no group edge 200-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -16.32% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 55.6% -2.7med +1.10% · n17fade long ✓ +10d 47% vs 56.7% -9.6med -0.02% · n17no group edge +21d 53% vs 58.8% -5.9med +0.53% · n17no group edge +63d 62% vs 61.7% +0.8med +2.49% · n16no group edge | admitted: fade long 5d200d-low · win 55.9% vs 55.6% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| TXNStocks · 309.83 · vol 42.5% | 5d 9921d 9665d 96200d 933 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.8th pct · +4.60% from MA · fresh episode +5d 49% vs 55.9% -6.5med -0.02% · n81no group edge +10d 60% vs 56.6% +3.9med +1.00% · n81no group edge +21d 55% vs 58.7% -3.7med +0.80% · n80no group edge +63d 67% vs 68.0% -0.9med +4.12% · n79no group edge 21-day leg high · 96.5th pct · +7.83% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 55.9% -1.8med +0.02% · n37no group edge +10d 57% vs 56.6% +0.2med +1.10% · n37no group edge +21d 58% vs 58.7% -0.4med +2.22% · n36no group edge +63d 67% vs 68.0% -1.3med +3.77% · n36no group edge 65-day leg high · 95.8th pct · +12.72% from MA · fresh episode +5d 40% vs 55.9% -15.9med -1.03% · n20fade short ✓ +10d 45% vs 56.6% -11.6med -0.62% · n20fade short ✓ +21d 50% vs 58.7% -8.7med +0.11% · n20fade short ✓ +63d 70% vs 68.0% +2.0med +2.68% · n20no group edge | admitted: fade short 5d65d-high · win 56.9% vs 44.1% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| LRCXStocks · 253.82 · vol 65.6% | 5d 9821d 265d 2200d 133 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.3th pct · +6.43% from MA · fresh episode +5d 57% vs 55.8% +1.6med +1.36% · n94no group edge +10d 57% vs 57.4% +0.0med +1.81% · n94no group edge +21d 63% vs 59.5% +3.3med +3.96% · n94no group edge +63d 69% vs 66.8% +2.0med +7.87% · n93no group edge 21-day leg low · 1.5th pct · -12.51% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 60% vs 55.8% +3.7med +1.77% · n42no group edge +10d 63% vs 57.4% +6.0med +4.96% · n41no group edge +21d 56% vs 59.5% -3.4med +6.71% · n41no group edge +63d 80% vs 66.8% +13.2med +13.02% · n40no group edge 65-day leg low · 2.4th pct · -15.39% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 61% vs 55.8% +5.3med +1.87% · n18fade long ✓ +10d 53% vs 57.4% -4.5med +0.50% · n17no group edge +21d 71% vs 59.5% +11.1med +6.86% · n17no group edge +63d 62% vs 66.8% -4.3med +13.02% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-low stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| PCARStocks · 102.42 · vol 27.0% | 5d 421d 665d 2200d 23 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.5th pct · -2.84% from MA · fresh episode +5d 63% vs 53.8% +9.2med +1.75% · n54no group edge +10d 56% vs 53.4% +2.2med +0.33% · n54no group edge +21d 54% vs 55.4% -1.7med +0.80% · n54no group edge +63d 70% vs 63.6% +6.2med +6.91% · n53no group edge 65-day leg low · 1.7th pct · -14.34% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-22 +5d 33% vs 53.8% -20.5med -1.60% · n9fade long ✓ +10d 56% vs 53.4% +2.2med +0.98% · n9no group edge +21d 44% vs 55.4% -11.0med -0.79% · n9no group edge +63d 62% vs 63.6% -1.1med +7.48% · n8no group edge 200-day leg low · 1.9th pct · -14.55% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-23 +5d 75% vs 53.8% +21.2med +1.99% · n8fade long ✓ +10d 62% vs 53.4% +9.1med +4.13% · n8no group edge +21d 71% vs 55.4% +16.0med +7.58% · n7no group edge +63d 86% vs 63.6% +22.1med +18.42% · n7no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-10-23; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| AStocks · 181.48 · vol 32.5% | 5d 9421d 9065d 98200d 1002 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg high · 97.6th pct · +14.36% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-21 +5d 45% vs 54.8% -9.8med -0.28% · n20fade short ✓ +10d 60% vs 56.6% +3.4med +0.60% · n20fade short ✓ +21d 70% vs 57.9% +12.1med +2.51% · n20fade short ✓ +63d 72% vs 60.9% +11.3med +4.45% · n18no group edge 200-day leg high · 100.0th pct · +34.08% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-21 +5d 28% vs 54.8% -27.0med -1.09% · n18fade short ✓ +10d 56% vs 56.6% -1.0med +0.16% · n18no group edge +21d 61% vs 57.9% +3.2med +2.01% · n18no group edge +63d 62% vs 60.9% +1.6med +6.40% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-09-21; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| LMTStocks · 629.75 · vol 29.9% | 5d 9421d 10065d 98200d 742 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 99.9th pct · +15.94% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 60% vs 57.1% +3.4med +0.28% · n38no group edge +10d 68% vs 60.0% +7.6med +1.80% · n37no group edge +21d 65% vs 62.2% +2.7med +2.47% · n37no group edge +63d 76% vs 67.1% +8.6med +3.86% · n37no group edge 65-day leg high · 98.1th pct · +14.13% from MA · fresh episode +5d 60% vs 57.1% +2.9med +0.83% · n20fade short ✓ +10d 65% vs 60.0% +5.0med +0.74% · n20fade short ✓ +21d 65% vs 62.2% +2.8med +2.16% · n20fade short ✓ +63d 70% vs 67.1% +2.9med +5.83% · n20no group edge | admitted: fade short 5d65d-high · win 43.6% vs 42.9% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| QUAL/SPYQuality vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.2889 · vol 4.5% | 5d 021d 265d 18200d 282 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 0.2th pct · -0.94% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-21 +5d 47% vs 49.4% -2.5med -0.12% · n49no group edge +10d 40% vs 48.7% -9.1med -0.25% · n48no group edge +21d 54% vs 49.4% +4.8med +0.10% · n48no group edge +63d 46% vs 47.3% -1.6med -0.19% · n46no group edge 21-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -1.14% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 49.4% +2.8med +0.03% · n23fade long ✓ +10d 39% vs 48.7% -9.6med -0.19% · n23fade long ✓ +21d 48% vs 49.4% -1.6med -0.21% · n23fade long +63d 36% vs 47.3% -10.9med -1.09% · n22no group edge | admitted: fade long 5d21d-low · win 53.7% vs 49.4% · sizes to 0 - no trade |
| BSXStocks · 42.43 · vol 38.8% | 5d 121d 1665d 8200d 52 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 1.0th pct · -5.61% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 55.5% +2.1med +0.90% · n59no group edge +10d 63% vs 56.7% +6.0med +1.16% · n59no group edge +21d 58% vs 56.2% +1.4med +1.13% · n59no group edge +63d 59% vs 63.7% -5.1med +3.00% · n58no group edge 200-day leg low · 4.6th pct · -25.60% from MA · stretched since 2026-02-04 +5d 50% vs 55.5% -5.5med +0.77% · n6fade long ✓ +10d 67% vs 56.7% +10.0med +0.21% · n6no group edge +21d 17% vs 56.2% -39.5med -4.18% · n6no group edge +63d 50% vs 63.7% -13.7med +2.98% · n6no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-02-04; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| ADPStocks · 285.37 · vol 28.6% | 5d 121d 6865d 66200d 982 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 1.1th pct · -4.35% from MA · fresh episode +5d 59% vs 57.6% +1.6med +0.48% · n71no group edge +10d 58% vs 59.9% -2.2med +1.20% · n71no group edge +21d 58% vs 61.2% -3.5med +1.24% · n71no group edge +63d 67% vs 70.0% -2.9med +4.20% · n70no group edge 200-day leg high · 98.0th pct · +20.11% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 69% vs 57.6% +11.6med +0.73% · n13fade short ✓ +10d 54% vs 59.9% -6.1med +1.05% · n13no group edge +21d 50% vs 61.2% -11.2med -0.07% · n12no group edge +63d 64% vs 70.0% -6.4med +1.14% · n11no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-14; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| MCDStocks · 250.5 · vol 19.5% | 5d 4621d 9565d 28200d 22 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.1th pct · +4.26% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 46% vs 57.2% -11.7med -0.34% · n33no group edge +10d 64% vs 60.2% +3.4med +0.40% · n33no group edge +21d 61% vs 60.0% +0.6med +1.80% · n33no group edge +63d 73% vs 64.5% +8.2med +4.50% · n33no group edge 200-day leg low · 1.9th pct · -10.78% from MA · stretched since 2026-04-29 +5d 86% vs 57.2% +28.5med +1.67% · n14fade long ✓ +10d 71% vs 60.2% +11.2med +3.42% · n14no group edge +21d 79% vs 60.0% +18.6med +4.46% · n14no group edge +63d 86% vs 64.5% +21.2med +11.20% · n14no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-04-29; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| HSYStocks · 163.77 · vol 27.6% | 5d 321d 3365d 12200d 42 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.7th pct · -2.73% from MA · fresh episode +5d 55% vs 55.0% -0.3med +0.48% · n86no group edge +10d 58% vs 56.1% +2.0med +0.67% · n86no group edge +21d 59% vs 60.4% -1.1med +1.00% · n86no group edge +63d 59% vs 64.9% -5.9med +2.36% · n83no group edge 200-day leg low · 3.7th pct · -12.56% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-17 +5d 47% vs 55.0% -7.9med -0.22% · n17fade long ✓ +10d 41% vs 56.1% -14.9med -0.32% · n17no group edge +21d 53% vs 60.4% -7.5med +0.38% · n17no group edge +63d 56% vs 64.9% -8.7med +1.18% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-09-17; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| LHXStocks · 260.61 · vol 28.3% | 5d 7821d 9665d 45200d 32 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.0th pct · +6.85% from MA · fresh episode +5d 48% vs 55.8% -7.5med -0.06% · n29no group edge +10d 62% vs 58.0% +4.1med +0.38% · n29no group edge +21d 41% vs 58.5% -17.1med -1.31% · n29no group edge +63d 55% vs 64.5% -9.3med +1.85% · n29no group edge 200-day leg low · 3.1th pct · -14.07% from MA · stretched since 2026-07-21 +5d 43% vs 55.8% -12.9med -0.73% · n14fade long ✓ +10d 64% vs 58.0% +6.3med +1.40% · n14no group edge +21d 50% vs 58.5% -8.5med +2.24% · n14no group edge +63d 71% vs 64.5% +6.9med +4.62% · n14no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-07-21; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| KDPStocks · 34.93 · vol 26.4% | 5d 4521d 9665d 96200d 922 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.5th pct · +5.92% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 52% vs 54.9% -2.5med +0.29% · n42no group edge +10d 52% vs 57.6% -5.2med +0.28% · n42no group edge +21d 56% vs 59.3% -3.2med +0.32% · n41no group edge +63d 68% vs 65.6% +1.9med +2.54% · n40no group edge 65-day leg high · 96.2th pct · +10.05% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 59% vs 54.9% +4.4med +0.87% · n27fade short ✓ +10d 46% vs 57.6% -11.4med -0.24% · n26fade short ✓ +21d 46% vs 59.3% -13.1med -0.51% · n26fade short ✓ +63d 65% vs 65.6% -0.2med +2.74% · n26no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-high stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| TMUSStocks · 148.08 · vol 34.1% | 5d 2521d 765d 4200d 42 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg low · 4.0th pct · -13.04% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-09 +5d 67% vs 53.4% +13.3med +7.08% · n3fade long ✓ +10d 67% vs 54.3% +12.4med +1.86% · n3no group edge +21d 50% vs 57.9% -7.9med +0.96% · n2no group edge +63d 0% vs 64.7% -64.7med -4.62% · n2no group edge 200-day leg low · 4.4th pct · -20.31% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-09 +5d 100% vs 53.4% +46.6med +3.77% · n2fade long ✓ +10d 50% vs 54.3% -4.3med +3.13% · n2no group edge +21d 100% vs 57.9% +42.1med +17.23% · n1no group edge +63d 100% vs 64.7% +35.3med +6.90% · n1no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-10-09; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| ELStocks · 109.31 · vol 47.6% | 5d 6521d 9665d 96200d 882 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.5th pct · +8.28% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 49% vs 53.9% -5.2med -0.03% · n39no group edge +10d 53% vs 56.4% -3.8med +0.53% · n38no group edge +21d 60% vs 57.6% +2.9med +1.25% · n38no group edge +63d 54% vs 60.9% -6.8med +3.63% · n37no group edge 65-day leg high · 95.7th pct · +13.19% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 56% vs 53.9% +1.7med +0.23% · n27fade short ✓ +10d 50% vs 56.4% -6.4med -0.08% · n26fade short ✓ +21d 38% vs 57.6% -19.1med -2.28% · n26fade short ✓ +63d 68% vs 60.9% +7.1med +7.71% · n25no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-high stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| TEAMStocks · 220.12 · vol 78.2% | 5d 3021d 7565d 92200d 1001 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 99.8th pct · +87.89% from MA · stretched since 2026-08-13 +5d 60% vs 53.9% +6.1med +2.44% · n5fade short ✓ +10d 80% vs 55.8% +24.2med +2.06% · n5no group edge +21d 40% vs 57.7% -17.7med -6.74% · n5no group edge +63d 25% vs 60.7% -35.7med -9.09% · n4no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-08-13; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| WDAYStocks · 204.36 · vol 54.1% | 5d 2121d 8065d 73200d 991 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +31.33% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 53% vs 53.1% -0.5med +0.58% · n19fade short ✓ +10d 33% vs 52.7% -19.4med -1.48% · n18no group edge +21d 28% vs 55.3% -27.5med -2.01% · n18no group edge +63d 50% vs 60.7% -10.7med +0.20% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-20; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| QUAL/USMVQuality vs Min-VolRatio spreads · 2.168 · vol 9.7% | 5d 5321d 265d 11200d 281 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 1.8th pct · -2.86% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 53% vs 53.6% -0.7med +0.05% · n17fade long ✓ +10d 69% vs 55.9% +12.9med +0.88% · n16fade long ✓ +21d 56% vs 58.5% -2.3med +1.09% · n16fade long +63d 56% vs 60.0% -3.8med +0.45% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-low stretch began 2026-10-20; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| BDXStocks · 195.16 · vol 25.9% | 5d 1721d 8865d 86200d 981 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 98.1th pct · +18.75% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-12 +5d 71% vs 55.9% +15.5med +0.98% · n7fade short ✓ +10d 57% vs 56.8% +0.3med +1.00% · n7no group edge +21d 17% vs 58.8% -42.1med -1.51% · n6no group edge +63d 40% vs 63.1% -23.1med -0.45% · n5no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-12; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| MPCStocks · 440.77 · vol 36.4% | 5d 1021d 2365d 79200d 981 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.9th pct · +53.63% from MA · stretched since 2026-07-13 +5d 43% vs 56.0% -13.1med +0.00% · n7fade short ✓ +10d 43% vs 59.2% -16.3med -1.10% · n7no group edge +21d 57% vs 60.3% -3.2med +0.11% · n7no group edge +63d 57% vs 66.4% -9.3med +3.29% · n7no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-07-13; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| XLVEquity ETFs · 179.72 · vol 16.3% | 5d 4221d 9465d 89200d 981 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.8th pct · +14.20% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 11% vs 58.2% -47.1med -1.22% · n9fade short ✓ +10d 38% vs 60.5% -23.0med -1.51% · n8no group edge +21d 25% vs 64.1% -39.1med -1.24% · n8no group edge +63d 43% vs 73.2% -30.3med -0.03% · n7momentum long | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| MUBBond ETFs · 103.76 · vol 3.7% | 5d 6921d 9865d 49200d 151 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 97.7th pct · +1.71% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 71% vs 57.8% +13.6med +0.23% · n14no group edge +10d 71% vs 59.8% +11.6med +0.42% · n14no group edge +21d 57% vs 62.3% -5.2med +0.16% · n14no group edge +63d 64% vs 67.7% -3.4med +0.88% · n14momentum long ✓ | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-high stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| PSXStocks · 273.76 · vol 32.4% | 5d 1121d 2565d 75200d 971 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.4th pct · +39.55% from MA · stretched since 2026-07-13 +5d 80% vs 55.2% +24.8med +2.00% · n10fade short ✓ +10d 80% vs 56.8% +23.2med +4.34% · n10no group edge +21d 70% vs 59.0% +11.0med +5.47% · n10no group edge +63d 60% vs 64.6% -4.6med +7.52% · n10no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-07-13; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| VZStocks · 43.18 · vol 27.1% | 5d 621d 1465d 3200d 111 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg low · 2.6th pct · -7.50% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-09 +5d 67% vs 52.8% +13.9med +1.73% · n36fade long ✓ +10d 67% vs 52.2% +14.5med +1.78% · n36no group edge +21d 74% vs 52.8% +21.5med +3.70% · n35no group edge +63d 77% vs 58.5% +18.6med +4.78% · n35no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-low stretch began 2026-10-09; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| HUMStocks · 411.87 · vol 46.7% | 5d 1821d 4265d 63200d 971 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.3th pct · +34.45% from MA · stretched since 2026-05-12 +5d 30% vs 55.1% -25.1med -1.41% · n10fade short ✓ +10d 50% vs 57.0% -7.0med -0.44% · n10no group edge +21d 60% vs 57.8% +2.2med +0.25% · n10no group edge +63d 70% vs 63.0% +7.0med +7.09% · n10no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-05-12; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| PANWStocks · 394.49 · vol 49.7% | 5d 8521d 5765d 62200d 971 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.0th pct · +47.20% from MA · stretched since 2026-05-22 +5d 100% vs 55.9% +44.1med +7.07% · n4fade short ✓ +10d 100% vs 57.4% +42.6med +3.50% · n4no group edge +21d 100% vs 61.4% +38.6med +9.30% · n4no group edge +63d 25% vs 63.9% -38.9med -1.74% · n4no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-05-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| MBBBond ETFs · 91.41 · vol 4.9% | 5d 3921d 9765d 40200d 151 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.8th pct · +1.32% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 57% vs 55.7% +1.4med +0.10% · n35no group edge +10d 49% vs 58.1% -9.5med +0.00% · n35no group edge +21d 57% vs 62.3% -5.2med +0.18% · n35no group edge +63d 71% vs 68.1% +3.3med +0.60% · n35momentum long ✓ | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-high stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| SPY/EWCSPY vs EWCRatio spreads · 12.5558 · vol 11.3% | 5d 4621d 465d 32200d 441 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -2.60% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 52% vs 53.1% -0.7med +0.16% · n21fade long ✓ +10d 55% vs 54.0% +1.0med +0.49% · n20fade long ✓ +21d 50% vs 55.7% -5.7med -0.08% · n20fade long +63d 60% vs 60.2% -0.2med +1.82% · n20no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-low stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| SPY/HDSPY vs HDRatio spreads · 2.432 · vol 25.3% | 5d 9221d 465d 50200d 861 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 3.9th pct · -5.11% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 44% vs 50.3% -6.5med -0.76% · n16fade long ✓ +10d 33% vs 51.9% -18.6med -1.30% · n15fade long ✓ +21d 33% vs 53.2% -19.9med -1.69% · n15fade long +63d 53% vs 50.1% +3.2med +0.49% · n15no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-low stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| EWC/SPYEWC vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.0796 · vol 11.3% | 5d 5421d 9665d 68200d 561 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.1th pct · +2.62% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 48% vs 46.9% +0.7med -0.12% · n21fade short ✓ +10d 45% vs 46.0% -1.0med -0.29% · n20no group edge +21d 55% vs 44.3% +10.7med +0.33% · n20no group edge +63d 45% vs 39.8% +5.2med -1.52% · n20fade short ✓ | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-high stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| HPEStocks · 60.33 · vol 58.5% | 5d 9121d 1465d 57200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 96.0th pct · +49.79% from MA · stretched since 2026-05-06 +5d 33% vs 54.6% -21.3med -2.69% · n3fade short ✓ +10d 67% vs 54.8% +11.9med +6.82% · n3no group edge +21d 67% vs 56.6% +10.1med +11.40% · n3no group edge +63d 67% vs 60.7% +6.0med +24.60% · n3no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-05-06; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| KOStocks · 91.73 · vol 19.0% | 5d 1121d 7365d 71200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 96.0th pct · +13.04% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-12 +5d 50% vs 55.5% -5.5med +0.11% · n14fade short ✓ +10d 57% vs 58.0% -0.9med +0.37% · n14no group edge +21d 54% vs 60.7% -6.9med +0.28% · n13no group edge +63d 54% vs 67.2% -13.4med +0.55% · n13no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-12; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| SCHDEquity ETFs · 35.09 · vol 11.4% | 5d 2321d 9665d 71200d 861 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.9th pct · +3.66% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 53% vs 59.5% -6.4med +0.37% · n32no group edge +10d 68% vs 63.3% +4.4med +1.16% · n31no group edge +21d 71% vs 65.8% +5.2med +1.61% · n31no group edge +63d 80% vs 74.4% +5.6med +5.10% · n30fade short ✓ | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-high stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| AMGNStocks · 451.83 · vol 29.6% | 5d 7921d 9465d 86200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 95.8th pct · +21.97% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 83% vs 54.4% +28.9med +0.91% · n6fade short ✓ +10d 83% vs 55.4% +27.9med +2.93% · n6no group edge +21d 67% vs 56.3% +10.4med +3.40% · n6no group edge +63d 0% vs 65.1% -65.1med -8.96% · n5no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-22; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| SNOWStocks · 339.91 · vol 65.7% | 5d 8221d 5465d 56200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 95.7th pct · +42.80% from MA · stretched since 2026-07-29 +5d 62% vs 51.6% +10.9med +0.90% · n8fade short ✓ +10d 50% vs 51.9% -1.9med -0.71% · n8no group edge +21d 25% vs 52.9% -27.9med -6.65% · n8no group edge +63d 38% vs 50.9% -13.4med -8.93% · n8no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-07-29; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| TRVStocks · 394.01 · vol 20.7% | 5d 1321d 8965d 75200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 95.7th pct · +20.54% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 50% vs 56.9% -6.9med +0.46% · n8fade short ✓ +10d 57% vs 58.8% -1.7med +0.26% · n7no group edge +21d 29% vs 60.7% -32.1med -1.21% · n7no group edge +63d 43% vs 68.4% -25.5med -2.86% · n7no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| LOWStocks · 198.4 · vol 28.2% | 5d 3021d 8265d 35200d 41 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 4.5th pct · -11.36% from MA · stretched since 2026-08-26 +5d 63% vs 54.9% +8.3med +0.77% · n19fade long ✓ +10d 58% vs 57.6% +0.3med +0.96% · n19no group edge +21d 63% vs 59.3% +3.9med +2.23% · n19no group edge +63d 89% vs 61.8% +27.1med +13.42% · n18no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-low stretch began 2026-08-26; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| PA=FCommodities / futures · 1103.0 · vol 54.2% | 5d 3521d 1965d 4200d n/a1 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg low · 4.5th pct · -14.30% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-07 +5d 50% vs 48.7% +1.3med +1.08% · n2momentum short ✓ +10d 50% vs 50.3% -0.3med +2.45% · n2no group edge +21d 100% vs 50.1% +49.9med +2.50% · n1no group edge +63d 0% vs 53.2% -53.2med -1.17% · n1momentum short ✓ | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-low stretch began 2026-10-07; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| SPY/XLVSPY vs XLVRatio spreads · 4.2973 · vol 18.6% | 5d 8421d 565d 7200d 81 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 4.6th pct · -3.27% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 52% vs 51.8% +0.2med +0.05% · n25fade long ✓ +10d 50% vs 52.6% -2.6med +0.05% · n24fade long ✓ +21d 50% vs 52.0% -2.0med +0.22% · n24fade long +63d 52% vs 56.5% -4.3med +1.02% · n23no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 21d-low stretch began 2026-10-15; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| MSFTStocks · 531.01 · vol 32.9% | 5d 6021d 4265d 66200d 951 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 95.1th pct · +21.73% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-05 +5d 47% vs 58.0% -10.9med -0.68% · n17fade short ✓ +10d 59% vs 60.5% -1.7med +0.71% · n17no group edge +21d 81% vs 63.0% +18.2med +1.99% · n16no group edge +63d 75% vs 70.7% +4.3med +5.28% · n16no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 200d-high stretch began 2026-10-05; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| PGStocks · 158.26 · vol 20.9% | 5d 821d 9065d 95200d 761 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg high · 95.0th pct · +7.34% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 65% vs 55.7% +9.3med +0.30% · n20fade short ✓ +10d 53% vs 57.1% -4.5med +0.49% · n19fade short ✓ +21d 58% vs 57.3% +0.6med +1.54% · n19fade short ✓ +63d 53% vs 63.5% -10.9med +0.21% · n19no group edge | no trade: not freshnot a fresh episode - this 65d-high stretch began 2026-10-16; the odds describe an episode's first day |
| AONStocks · 315.72 · vol 28.7% | 5d 9821d 10065d 33200d 162 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.0th pct · +3.14% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 59% vs 56.8% +2.1med +0.34% · n73no group edge +10d 58% vs 58.7% -0.4med +1.20% · n72no group edge +21d 71% vs 61.3% +9.5med +2.68% · n72no group edge +63d 71% vs 69.7% +1.1med +2.78% · n72no group edge 21-day leg high · 99.7th pct · +10.41% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 56% vs 56.8% -1.2med +0.34% · n27no group edge +10d 62% vs 58.7% +2.8med +1.20% · n26no group edge +21d 62% vs 61.3% +0.2med +0.43% · n26no group edge +63d 62% vs 69.7% -8.2med +1.69% · n26no group edge | no admitted setup |
| XMMO/MTUMMid vs Large MomentumRatio spreads · 0.4584 · vol 13.7% | 5d 621d 1365d 3200d 02 of 4 legs at an extreme | 65-day leg low · 2.7th pct · -6.62% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-15 +5d 57% vs 51.3% +5.8med +0.31% · n14no group edge +10d 50% vs 51.4% -1.4med +0.21% · n14no group edge +21d 64% vs 50.1% +14.2med +0.92% · n14no group edge +63d 62% vs 53.1% +8.4med +1.03% · n13no group edge 200-day leg low · 0.5th pct · -14.16% from MA · stretched since 2026-08-20 +5d 83% vs 51.3% +32.0med +0.53% · n6no group edge +10d 33% vs 51.4% -18.1med -0.67% · n6no group edge +21d 33% vs 50.1% -16.8med -0.76% · n6momentum short +63d 40% vs 53.1% -13.1med -1.53% · n5no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ZC=FCommodities / futures · 462.0 · vol 20.2% | 5d 321d 165d 6200d 322 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.1th pct · -2.20% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-30 +5d 52% vs 50.4% +1.8med +0.10% · n23momentum short +10d 39% vs 51.3% -12.2med -1.90% · n23no group edge +21d 46% vs 50.5% -5.0med -1.03% · n22no group edge +63d 46% vs 48.9% -3.4med -2.67% · n22no group edge 21-day leg low · 1.0th pct · -7.44% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-30 +5d 33% vs 50.4% -17.1med -1.48% · n12fade long +10d 33% vs 51.3% -18.0med -1.47% · n12no group edge +21d 27% vs 50.5% -23.2med -3.41% · n11momentum short +63d 46% vs 48.9% -3.4med -2.56% · n11momentum short | no admitted setup |
| AMATStocks · 416.0 · vol 60.6% | 5d 9921d 465d 6200d 202 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +6.54% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 55.7% -2.6med +0.73% · n96no group edge +10d 66% vs 56.9% +8.7med +2.94% · n96no group edge +21d 67% vs 58.3% +8.4med +3.31% · n96no group edge +63d 67% vs 65.3% +1.7med +10.06% · n94no group edge 21-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -9.17% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 55% vs 55.7% -0.7med +0.49% · n40no group edge +10d 50% vs 56.9% -6.9med -0.08% · n40no group edge +21d 62% vs 58.3% +3.2med +2.35% · n39no group edge +63d 66% vs 65.3% +0.5med +6.08% · n38no group edge | no admitted setup |
| UPSStocks · 105.62 · vol 30.4% | 5d 9621d 9965d 80200d 522 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.1th pct · +2.62% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 48% vs 54.7% -7.1med -0.18% · n84no group edge +10d 58% vs 55.8% +2.5med +0.83% · n84no group edge +21d 55% vs 56.6% -1.8med +1.07% · n84no group edge +63d 47% vs 55.9% -8.9med -0.91% · n83no group edge 21-day leg high · 98.6th pct · +8.78% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 54% vs 54.7% -1.0med +0.09% · n41no group edge +10d 58% vs 55.8% +2.7med +0.44% · n41no group edge +21d 54% vs 56.6% -2.9med +1.01% · n41no group edge +63d 39% vs 55.9% -16.9med -2.29% · n41no group edge | no admitted setup |
| AIWIN/AIRISKAI Winners vs AI At-Risk (GS de-grossing)Ratio spreads · 0.8105 · vol 52.4% | 5d 421d 9165d 95200d 982 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.6th pct · -4.02% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 49.0% +4.5med +0.33% · n43no group edge +10d 44% vs 49.8% -5.6med -0.28% · n43no group edge +21d 38% vs 50.2% -12.1med -1.19% · n42no group edge +63d 40% vs 49.5% -9.5med -4.77% · n40no group edge 200-day leg high · 98.3th pct · +23.52% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 100% vs 49.0% +51.0med +7.00% · n1no group edge +10d no historyno group edge +21d no historymomentum long +63d no historyno group edge | no admitted setup |
| ORCLStocks · 144.54 · vol 58.0% | 5d 10021d 9465d 50200d 131 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.8th pct · +10.70% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 54.1% +3.6med +0.23% · n71no group edge +10d 54% vs 55.4% -1.9med +0.20% · n71no group edge +21d 64% vs 57.1% +7.2med +2.39% · n70no group edge +63d 60% vs 60.5% -0.5med +2.29% · n70no group edge | no admitted setup |
| NDAQStocks · 105.55 · vol 28.4% | 5d 8221d 10065d 94200d 861 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 99.5th pct · +10.37% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 62% vs 56.8% +5.0med +0.41% · n34no group edge +10d 62% vs 59.5% +2.3med +0.80% · n34no group edge +21d 76% vs 62.3% +14.2med +2.62% · n34no group edge +63d 59% vs 69.1% -10.3med +2.35% · n34no group edge | no admitted setup |
| APHStocks · 80.96 · vol 46.2% | 5d 9921d 2365d 27200d 421 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.4th pct · +6.08% from MA · fresh episode +5d 55% vs 57.5% -2.1med +0.45% · n65no group edge +10d 66% vs 60.3% +5.9med +1.58% · n65no group edge +21d 57% vs 63.6% -6.7med +1.63% · n65no group edge +63d 70% vs 71.0% -0.7med +4.49% · n64no group edge | no admitted setup |
| PWRStocks · 606.89 · vol 45.4% | 5d 9921d 965d 15200d 191 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.4th pct · +6.53% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 56.8% -3.5med +0.26% · n75no group edge +10d 59% vs 57.8% +0.9med +1.48% · n75no group edge +21d 61% vs 61.2% -0.4med +2.13% · n74no group edge +63d 68% vs 65.6% +2.0med +6.12% · n74no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SNPSStocks · 481.89 · vol 45.0% | 5d 9921d 6165d 94200d 521 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.4th pct · +6.46% from MA · fresh episode +5d 56% vs 56.9% -0.5med +0.41% · n94no group edge +10d 64% vs 59.2% +4.6med +1.55% · n94no group edge +21d 68% vs 60.7% +7.4med +2.10% · n94no group edge +63d 69% vs 70.0% -0.8med +5.28% · n91no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MTUM/RSPMTUM vs S&P500 EWRatio spreads · 1.3959 · vol 24.3% | 5d 9921d 765d 22200d 411 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.4th pct · +2.82% from MA · fresh episode +5d 47% vs 54.7% -7.3med -0.07% · n38no group edge +10d 60% vs 55.0% +5.5med +0.34% · n38no group edge +21d 58% vs 56.3% +1.6med +0.68% · n38no group edge +63d 51% vs 55.0% -3.6med +0.51% · n37no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MTUM/USMVMomentum vs Min-VolRatio spreads · 2.9492 · vol 27.8% | 5d 9921d 665d 12200d 331 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.4th pct · +3.09% from MA · fresh episode +5d 41% vs 54.4% -13.4med -0.42% · n39no group edge +10d 56% vs 55.6% +0.8med +0.22% · n39no group edge +21d 49% vs 55.9% -7.2med -0.03% · n39no group edge +63d 50% vs 55.2% -5.2med +0.29% · n38no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GRMNStocks · 272.51 · vol 34.9% | 5d 121d 1365d 15200d 511 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 0.6th pct · -5.63% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 55.3% -1.6med +0.40% · n82no group edge +10d 62% vs 56.5% +5.7med +1.37% · n82no group edge +21d 52% vs 58.6% -6.7med +1.04% · n81no group edge +63d 60% vs 65.0% -5.0med +4.69% · n80no group edge | no admitted setup |
| WMStocks · 225.15 · vol 21.7% | 5d 121d 7865d 54200d 221 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 0.6th pct · -4.63% from MA · fresh episode +5d 62% vs 57.1% +4.4med +0.70% · n65no group edge +10d 54% vs 60.7% -6.9med +0.33% · n65no group edge +21d 62% vs 61.8% -0.3med +1.19% · n65no group edge +63d 71% vs 69.4% +2.0med +4.89% · n63no group edge | no admitted setup |
| JCIStocks · 157.35 · vol 31.6% | 5d 9921d 8165d 76200d 641 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.2th pct · +5.22% from MA · fresh episode +5d 62% vs 56.0% +6.1med +0.84% · n66no group edge +10d 61% vs 56.9% +3.7med +1.54% · n66no group edge +21d 63% vs 60.6% +2.5med +2.19% · n65no group edge +63d 73% vs 66.1% +6.9med +4.78% · n63no group edge | no admitted setup |
| PAYXStocks · 108.21 · vol 31.0% | 5d 121d 6265d 13200d 551 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 0.8th pct · -4.68% from MA · fresh episode +5d 64% vs 56.3% +7.5med +0.76% · n69no group edge +10d 56% vs 58.2% -1.7med +0.79% · n69no group edge +21d 55% vs 60.0% -4.9med +0.37% · n69no group edge +63d 69% vs 63.8% +4.9med +4.42% · n67no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SOXXEquity ETFs · 521.94 · vol 46.5% | 5d 9921d 2065d 25200d 471 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.2th pct · +5.28% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 57.6% -4.4med +0.35% · n79no group edge +10d 63% vs 59.5% +3.8med +2.21% · n79no group edge +21d 66% vs 62.5% +3.3med +3.24% · n79no group edge +63d 70% vs 71.3% -0.8med +8.23% · n78no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SOXX/SPYVSOXX vs SPYVRatio spreads · 8.1477 · vol 44.3% | 5d 9921d 965d 20200d 391 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.1th pct · +5.19% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 56.3% -4.2med +0.13% · n48no group edge +10d 62% vs 57.8% +4.7med +0.96% · n48no group edge +21d 67% vs 59.9% +6.8med +3.13% · n48no group edge +63d 68% vs 64.9% +3.2med +3.05% · n47no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MTUM/SPYVMTUM vs SPYVRatio spreads · 4.7377 · vol 25.2% | 5d 9921d 765d 17200d 361 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.1th pct · +2.74% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 54.6% -1.7med +0.07% · n34no group edge +10d 53% vs 55.1% -2.2med +0.56% · n34no group edge +21d 59% vs 55.1% +3.7med +1.16% · n34no group edge +63d 52% vs 53.7% -2.2med +1.69% · n33no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MTUM/SPYMomentum vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.393 · vol 19.2% | 5d 9921d 1565d 21200d 421 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.1th pct · +2.04% from MA · fresh episode +5d 44% vs 53.5% -9.9med -0.28% · n39no group edge +10d 56% vs 52.8% +3.6med +0.17% · n39no group edge +21d 51% vs 51.2% +0.1med +0.15% · n39no group edge +63d 53% vs 48.3% +4.3med +0.71% · n38no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ADIStocks · 428.27 · vol 36.4% | 5d 9921d 8865d 92200d 841 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 99.0th pct · +5.05% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 54.5% -0.7med +0.35% · n78no group edge +10d 58% vs 55.6% +2.1med +1.57% · n78no group edge +21d 60% vs 57.6% +2.7med +2.24% · n78no group edge +63d 66% vs 68.6% -2.8med +4.38% · n76no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMH/IWDSMH vs IWDRatio spreads · 2.1941 · vol 36.1% | 5d 9921d 1265d 24200d 281 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.9th pct · +4.31% from MA · fresh episode +5d 44% vs 56.0% -12.2med -0.22% · n48no group edge +10d 54% vs 58.9% -4.7med +1.17% · n48no group edge +21d 60% vs 62.4% -2.0med +2.25% · n48no group edge +63d 70% vs 67.4% +2.8med +6.16% · n47no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMHEW/SPYSemis EW vs S&PRatio spreads · 8.0212 · vol 34.4% | 5d 9921d 2065d 38200d 441 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.9th pct · +3.89% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 55.3% -1.6med +0.74% · n41no group edge +10d 68% vs 57.6% +10.7med +1.10% · n41no group edge +21d 61% vs 58.6% +2.4med +2.65% · n41no group edge +63d 68% vs 64.6% +2.9med +2.79% · n40no group edge | no admitted setup |
| VLUE/SPYVEnhanced vs Plain ValueRatio spreads · 3.1005 · vol 17.0% | 5d 9921d 1265d 9200d 831 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.9th pct · +1.56% from MA · fresh episode +5d 59% vs 49.6% +9.0med +0.09% · n29no group edge +10d 48% vs 49.1% -0.8med -0.11% · n29no group edge +21d 48% vs 49.1% -0.8med -0.04% · n29no group edge +63d 54% vs 41.8% +11.8med +0.30% · n28no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ODFLStocks · 173.32 · vol 38.3% | 5d 121d 1065d 7200d 51 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 1.2th pct · -5.33% from MA · fresh episode +5d 51% vs 55.4% -4.8med +0.32% · n77no group edge +10d 51% vs 57.3% -6.7med +0.15% · n77no group edge +21d 58% vs 59.8% -1.4med +2.16% · n77no group edge +63d 66% vs 69.1% -3.3med +5.37% · n76no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPMO/SPYSPMO vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.1876 · vol 17.1% | 5d 9921d 1265d 11200d 331 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.8th pct · +1.89% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 55.0% -2.4med +0.02% · n38no group edge +10d 63% vs 55.0% +8.2med +0.49% · n38no group edge +21d 63% vs 57.5% +5.7med +0.74% · n38no group edge +63d 62% vs 59.7% +2.5med +1.82% · n37no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMH/SPYSemis vs S&PRatio spreads · 0.735 · vol 31.4% | 5d 9921d 1765d 28200d 361 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.8th pct · +3.63% from MA · fresh episode +5d 51% vs 55.7% -4.6med +0.26% · n45no group edge +10d 58% vs 57.8% +0.0med +0.79% · n45no group edge +21d 64% vs 59.2% +5.2med +1.93% · n45no group edge +63d 68% vs 65.2% +3.0med +3.43% · n44no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPYV/SPMOValue vs MomentumRatio spreads · 0.4421 · vol 23.5% | 5d 121d 9465d 90200d 651 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 1.2th pct · -2.56% from MA · fresh episode +5d 60% vs 44.6% +15.4med +0.32% · n35no group edge +10d 49% vs 43.6% +5.0med -0.15% · n35no group edge +21d 40% vs 42.1% -2.1med -0.75% · n35no group edge +63d 35% vs 39.4% -4.1med -3.31% · n34no group edge | no admitted setup |
| NOCStocks · 552.77 · vol 28.3% | 5d 3321d 9965d 64200d 121 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +8.69% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 61% vs 56.7% +4.3med +0.43% · n41no group edge +10d 65% vs 58.8% +6.2med +0.94% · n40no group edge +21d 58% vs 61.5% -4.0med +0.83% · n40no group edge +63d 59% vs 68.0% -9.0med +3.11% · n39no group edge | no admitted setup |
| WDCStocks · 396.42 · vol 81.3% | 5d 9921d 6065d 19200d 351 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +8.24% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-21 +5d 51% vs 53.7% -2.3med +0.25% · n70no group edge +10d 49% vs 54.9% -5.6med -0.30% · n69no group edge +21d 55% vs 56.2% -1.1med +1.65% · n69no group edge +63d 60% vs 57.9% +2.4med +6.24% · n68no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMH/SPYVSMH vs SPYVRatio spreads · 8.8615 · vol 37.9% | 5d 9921d 1065d 22200d 341 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +4.34% from MA · fresh episode +5d 41% vs 56.1% -14.8med -0.39% · n46no group edge +10d 54% vs 58.9% -4.6med +0.44% · n46no group edge +21d 61% vs 61.8% -0.9med +0.96% · n46no group edge +63d 73% vs 67.6% +5.7med +7.41% · n45no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMH/QQQESemis vs Nasdaq EWRatio spreads · 4.7361 · vol 28.9% | 5d 9921d 1565d 32200d 351 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.7th pct · +3.19% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 56.7% -3.2med +0.10% · n43no group edge +10d 65% vs 58.3% +6.8med +0.84% · n43no group edge +21d 60% vs 60.8% -0.3med +0.67% · n43no group edge +63d 74% vs 65.5% +8.3med +5.72% · n42no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPHB/SPLVHigh-beta vs Low-volRatio spreads · 1.9255 · vol 31.9% | 5d 9921d 965d 23200d 531 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.6th pct · +4.15% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 52.2% +5.4med +0.38% · n33no group edge +10d 52% vs 52.9% -1.4med +0.30% · n33no group edge +21d 54% vs 52.8% +1.7med +0.86% · n33no group edge +63d 48% vs 54.1% -5.7med -0.10% · n31no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SI=FCommodities / futures · 57.98 · vol 65.6% | 5d 5921d 2065d 13200d 21 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 1.5th pct · -21.24% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-28 +5d 50% vs 55.0% -5.0med +1.36% · n2no group edge +10d 50% vs 54.8% -4.8med +0.93% · n2no group edge +21d 100% vs 58.7% +41.3med +0.64% · n1no group edge +63d 100% vs 61.6% +38.4med +9.73% · n1no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SMHEquity ETFs · 567.67 · vol 40.1% | 5d 9821d 2065d 26200d 461 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.5th pct · +4.43% from MA · fresh episode +5d 59% vs 58.4% +0.3med +0.68% · n75no group edge +10d 64% vs 60.1% +3.9med +2.34% · n75no group edge +21d 61% vs 64.0% -2.7med +2.27% · n75no group edge +63d 75% vs 73.2% +2.1med +8.63% · n73no group edge | no admitted setup |
| XLK/XLPXLK vs XLPRatio spreads · 2.1994 · vol 35.6% | 5d 9821d 1365d 27200d 631 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.5th pct · +3.80% from MA · fresh episode +5d 44% vs 55.8% -11.6med -0.19% · n43no group edge +10d 63% vs 58.8% +4.0med +1.49% · n43no group edge +21d 49% vs 59.8% -11.0med -0.31% · n43no group edge +63d 65% vs 66.4% -1.4med +2.98% · n40no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MUStocks · 983.23 · vol 81.3% | 5d 9821d 5065d 46200d 731 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.3th pct · +8.05% from MA · fresh episode +5d 49% vs 53.3% -4.7med -0.42% · n74no group edge +10d 53% vs 55.4% -2.7med +0.72% · n74no group edge +21d 53% vs 57.3% -4.6med +0.75% · n74no group edge +63d 58% vs 62.0% -4.5med +5.21% · n73no group edge | no admitted setup |
| HE=FCommodities / futures · 67.15 · vol 19.6% | 5d 7521d 2365d 9200d 21 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 1.8th pct · -15.27% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-14 +5d 0% vs 48.8% -48.8med -1.87% · n3no group edge +10d 33% vs 50.7% -17.4med -3.00% · n3no group edge +21d 0% vs 48.2% -48.2med -3.68% · n3no group edge +63d 0% vs 45.4% -45.4med -5.85% · n1no group edge | no admitted setup |
| METAStocks · 612.49 · vol 42.7% | 5d 921d 265d 18200d 191 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 1.9th pct · -12.87% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 55% vs 55.7% -0.5med +0.07% · n29no group edge +10d 69% vs 57.6% +11.4med +3.87% · n29no group edge +21d 55% vs 61.9% -6.7med +2.97% · n29no group edge +63d 69% vs 66.8% +2.2med +8.13% · n29no group edge | no admitted setup |
| IBMStocks · 253.22 · vol 48.2% | 5d 5521d 9865d 90200d 501 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 98.1th pct · +7.87% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-20 +5d 54% vs 53.6% +0.7med +0.17% · n46no group edge +10d 67% vs 54.0% +12.7med +1.35% · n45no group edge +21d 58% vs 54.8% +3.0med +1.37% · n45no group edge +63d 48% vs 58.8% -11.1med -0.54% · n44no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CTASStocks · 212.81 · vol 23.7% | 5d 221d 6765d 60200d 631 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -3.42% from MA · fresh episode +5d 62% vs 57.6% +4.1med +0.70% · n60no group edge +10d 68% vs 61.5% +6.8med +1.76% · n60no group edge +21d 70% vs 68.1% +1.9med +3.72% · n60no group edge +63d 78% vs 78.6% -1.0med +8.16% · n58no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ETNStocks · 392.88 · vol 40.2% | 5d 9821d 1465d 14200d 231 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 98.0th pct · +4.26% from MA · fresh episode +5d 55% vs 56.0% -1.2med +0.13% · n62no group edge +10d 63% vs 57.8% +5.1med +1.23% · n62no group edge +21d 61% vs 59.0% +2.3med +4.00% · n62no group edge +63d 73% vs 68.2% +5.1med +6.63% · n60no group edge | no admitted setup |
| KMBStocks · 108.4 · vol 28.8% | 5d 1021d 9865d 76200d 711 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 98.0th pct · +6.07% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 50% vs 53.4% -3.4med -0.04% · n40no group edge +10d 49% vs 55.9% -7.2med -0.05% · n39no group edge +21d 51% vs 56.1% -4.8med +0.11% · n39no group edge +63d 56% vs 59.7% -3.3med +3.07% · n39no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SHWStocks · 320.8 · vol 28.0% | 5d 221d 2165d 14200d 161 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -3.64% from MA · fresh episode +5d 59% vs 57.2% +2.2med +0.70% · n69no group edge +10d 62% vs 58.9% +3.4med +1.47% · n69no group edge +21d 59% vs 60.8% -1.4med +1.19% · n69no group edge +63d 68% vs 66.8% +0.8med +5.88% · n68no group edge | no admitted setup |
| XLP/SPYXLP vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.1124 · vol 20.6% | 5d 221d 8765d 79200d 531 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.0th pct · -2.14% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 44.9% +8.8med +0.03% · n41no group edge +10d 42% vs 42.3% -0.8med -0.90% · n41no group edge +21d 39% vs 41.1% -2.1med -0.98% · n41no group edge +63d 37% vs 37.7% -0.9med -2.05% · n38no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CDNSStocks · 342.46 · vol 41.2% | 5d 9821d 5665d 67200d 321 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.9th pct · +4.80% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 56.4% -2.1med +0.57% · n81no group edge +10d 56% vs 59.1% -3.5med +0.44% · n81no group edge +21d 57% vs 61.6% -4.8med +1.49% · n81no group edge +63d 72% vs 70.6% +1.6med +7.45% · n79no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GMStocks · 82.48 · vol 33.2% | 5d 9821d 6965d 37200d 481 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.9th pct · +5.08% from MA · fresh episode +5d 63% vs 50.9% +12.3med +1.32% · n76no group edge +10d 68% vs 51.0% +17.4med +1.71% · n76no group edge +21d 58% vs 52.3% +5.6med +1.84% · n76no group edge +63d 59% vs 56.7% +2.5med +3.35% · n76no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MRVLStocks · 251.65 · vol 80.0% | 5d 9821d 3765d 64200d 931 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.8th pct · +6.54% from MA · fresh episode +5d 54% vs 52.5% +2.0med +0.33% · n88no group edge +10d 59% vs 52.9% +6.2med +2.63% · n88no group edge +21d 61% vs 54.5% +6.9med +3.05% · n88no group edge +63d 63% vs 59.4% +3.8med +7.11% · n87no group edge | no admitted setup |
| TJXStocks · 138.39 · vol 21.4% | 5d 221d 1965d 20200d 61 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.4th pct · -3.19% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 56.7% -3.6med +0.28% · n64no group edge +10d 61% vs 60.8% +0.1med +1.48% · n64no group edge +21d 64% vs 63.6% +0.5med +2.21% · n64no group edge +63d 73% vs 72.0% +1.0med +5.26% · n63no group edge | no admitted setup |
| VLOStocks · 388.48 · vol 38.2% | 5d 221d 565d 50200d 941 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.4th pct · -5.16% from MA · fresh episode +5d 61% vs 54.8% +6.1med +1.51% · n64no group edge +10d 59% vs 57.2% +2.2med +1.41% · n64no group edge +21d 55% vs 59.0% -4.3med +1.44% · n64no group edge +63d 60% vs 62.6% -2.3med +6.77% · n63no group edge | no admitted setup |
| STXStocks · 697.97 · vol 76.3% | 5d 9821d 1365d 6200d 321 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.6th pct · +6.31% from MA · fresh episode +5d 51% vs 57.3% -6.4med +0.03% · n55no group edge +10d 53% vs 56.9% -4.2med +1.22% · n55no group edge +21d 58% vs 57.0% +1.2med +3.64% · n55no group edge +63d 57% vs 61.1% -3.7med +6.61% · n54no group edge | no admitted setup |
| AVGOStocks · 351.81 · vol 46.0% | 5d 9821d 4865d 17200d 101 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.5th pct · +5.44% from MA · fresh episode +5d 45% vs 55.8% -10.8med -0.75% · n80no group edge +10d 56% vs 59.8% -3.6med +1.13% · n80no group edge +21d 60% vs 63.3% -3.8med +2.18% · n79no group edge +63d 76% vs 72.9% +2.7med +10.12% · n78no group edge | no admitted setup |
| HIGStocks · 130.04 · vol 20.0% | 5d 221d 3065d 16200d 171 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.5th pct · -3.77% from MA · fresh episode +5d 61% vs 55.8% +5.2med +0.62% · n41no group edge +10d 71% vs 58.3% +12.4med +1.34% · n41no group edge +21d 63% vs 59.3% +4.1med +1.92% · n41no group edge +63d 70% vs 65.8% +4.2med +4.99% · n40no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GC=F/^GSPCGold vs S&P 500Ratio spreads · 0.5262 · vol 26.6% | 5d 4821d 3265d 14200d 21 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 2.5th pct · -17.03% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-28 +5d 33% vs 47.0% -13.7med -1.43% · n3no group edge +10d 33% vs 45.3% -12.0med -1.06% · n3no group edge +21d 0% vs 46.4% -46.4med -3.03% · n3momentum short +63d 50% vs 47.6% +2.4med -6.67% · n2no group edge | no admitted setup |
| INTCStocks · 95.53 · vol 77.9% | 5d 9721d 1165d 22200d 661 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.4th pct · +5.63% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 53.3% +4.2med +0.74% · n87no group edge +10d 56% vs 54.1% +2.2med +1.11% · n87no group edge +21d 53% vs 56.1% -3.2med +1.14% · n87no group edge +63d 55% vs 55.8% -1.1med +2.26% · n86no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPGIStocks · 449.33 · vol 31.1% | 5d 3621d 9765d 78200d 471 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 97.4th pct · +7.13% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-16 +5d 64% vs 58.7% +5.8med +0.35% · n31no group edge +10d 70% vs 61.6% +8.4med +1.36% · n30no group edge +21d 67% vs 63.3% +3.4med +3.91% · n30no group edge +63d 63% vs 69.0% -5.7med +8.01% · n30no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GC=FCommodities / futures · 4135.0 · vol 28.4% | 5d 2621d 2265d 9200d 31 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 2.8th pct · -10.45% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-14 +5d 50% vs 57.9% -7.9med +0.21% · n2no group edge +10d 0% vs 56.9% -56.9med -5.99% · n2no group edge +21d 0% vs 62.8% -62.8med -6.30% · n2no group edge +63d 100% vs 75.0% +25.0med +2.30% · n1no group edge | no admitted setup |
| KBWB/KREKBWB vs KRERatio spreads · 1.2364 · vol 12.4% | 5d 9721d 3565d 16200d 211 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 97.2th pct · +1.40% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 53.1% -0.9med +0.12% · n46no group edge +10d 50% vs 54.4% -4.4med -0.04% · n46no group edge +21d 44% vs 55.6% -12.1med -1.07% · n46no group edge +63d 59% vs 60.3% -1.6med +2.11% · n46no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ZM=FCommodities / futures · 348.7 · vol 21.4% | 5d 321d 1465d 70200d 911 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 2.9th pct · -2.32% from MA · fresh episode +5d 33% vs 45.6% -12.3med -0.43% · n6momentum short +10d 50% vs 45.4% +4.6med -0.54% · n6no group edge +21d 40% vs 44.2% -4.2med -0.30% · n5no group edge +63d 40% vs 38.6% +1.4med -3.59% · n5no group edge | no admitted setup |
| XLE/TANXLE vs TANRatio spreads · 1.6703 · vol 45.9% | 5d 5521d 8765d 92200d 971 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 97.1th pct · +52.63% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 60% vs 50.7% +9.3med +0.40% · n5no group edge +10d 40% vs 50.0% -10.0med -2.57% · n5no group edge +21d 50% vs 50.4% -0.4med +2.28% · n4momentum long +63d 75% vs 53.1% +21.9med +12.73% · n4no group edge | no admitted setup |
| AJGStocks · 260.42 · vol 32.2% | 5d 721d 9765d 71200d 771 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.9th pct · +6.36% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-15 +5d 63% vs 57.7% +5.5med +0.46% · n38no group edge +10d 57% vs 60.6% -3.8med +1.05% · n37no group edge +21d 68% vs 62.7% +4.9med +2.51% · n37no group edge +63d 83% vs 71.8% +11.5med +4.29% · n36no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ELVStocks · 414.41 · vol 35.2% | 5d 321d 3565d 52200d 681 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.1th pct · -3.74% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 55.7% +1.9med +1.10% · n66no group edge +10d 64% vs 57.9% +5.7med +1.48% · n66no group edge +21d 64% vs 59.2% +4.4med +1.72% · n66no group edge +63d 71% vs 65.0% +6.2med +4.57% · n66no group edge | no admitted setup |
| USMV/SPYMin-Vol vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.1332 · vol 11.4% | 5d 321d 9265d 84200d 691 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.1th pct · -1.04% from MA · fresh episode +5d 47% vs 44.9% +2.2med -0.26% · n51no group edge +10d 51% vs 44.0% +7.0med +0.10% · n51no group edge +21d 51% vs 43.0% +8.0med +0.12% · n51no group edge +63d 31% vs 39.9% -9.3med -1.38% · n49no group edge | no admitted setup |
| RSGStocks · 233.4 · vol 20.2% | 5d 321d 9265d 86200d 601 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.3th pct · -2.16% from MA · fresh episode +5d 66% vs 57.5% +8.6med +1.07% · n62no group edge +10d 63% vs 61.0% +1.9med +0.64% · n62no group edge +21d 69% vs 63.8% +5.6med +2.18% · n62no group edge +63d 77% vs 73.3% +3.7med +5.33% · n61no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ZB=FCommodities / futures · 107.625 · vol 8.1% | 5d 5521d 9765d 57200d 261 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 96.7th pct · +2.86% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 27% vs 49.8% -23.1med -0.44% · n30fade short +10d 50% vs 49.4% +0.6med +0.02% · n30no group edge +21d 47% vs 48.6% -1.9med -0.64% · n30no group edge +63d 43% vs 49.3% -6.0med -0.70% · n30no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GC=F/^NDXGold vs Nasdaq 100Ratio spreads · 0.1367 · vol 29.0% | 5d 2721d 5265d 24200d 31 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 3.3th pct · -18.15% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-21 +5d 60% vs 45.9% +14.1med +0.45% · n5no group edge +10d 60% vs 44.0% +16.0med +0.14% · n5no group edge +21d 40% vs 43.9% -3.9med -2.30% · n5momentum short +63d 50% vs 43.3% +6.7med -1.63% · n4no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CLStocks · 91.69 · vol 23.2% | 5d 321d 7165d 60200d 531 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.4th pct · -2.12% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 54.6% +3.8med +0.57% · n77no group edge +10d 54% vs 56.7% -2.2med +0.51% · n77no group edge +21d 51% vs 58.3% -7.7med +0.07% · n77no group edge +63d 58% vs 60.9% -3.0med +1.73% · n76no group edge | no admitted setup |
| AMDStocks · 578.44 · vol 68.1% | 5d 9721d 4465d 65200d 821 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.6th pct · +7.33% from MA · fresh episode +5d 53% vs 52.8% -0.2med +0.49% · n78no group edge +10d 58% vs 53.7% +4.0med +2.43% · n78no group edge +21d 64% vs 53.7% +10.4med +5.96% · n78no group edge +63d 66% vs 57.5% +8.3med +11.76% · n76no group edge | no admitted setup |
| IJR/IWMIJR vs IWMRatio spreads · 0.4969 · vol 6.7% | 5d 421d 5465d 75200d 771 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.6th pct · -0.60% from MA · fresh episode +5d 40% vs 49.2% -8.7med -0.15% · n37no group edge +10d 49% vs 48.2% +0.4med -0.03% · n37no group edge +21d 49% vs 47.7% +0.9med -0.32% · n37no group edge +63d 58% vs 48.7% +9.6med +0.34% · n36no group edge | no admitted setup |
| EQIXStocks · 1007.66 · vol 26.0% | 5d 9621d 4465d 25200d 281 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.3th pct · +3.19% from MA · fresh episode +5d 47% vs 56.8% -10.1med -0.16% · n60no group edge +10d 57% vs 58.6% -1.9med +1.37% · n60no group edge +21d 60% vs 62.2% -2.2med +1.38% · n60no group edge +63d 60% vs 66.1% -5.8med +5.85% · n58no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SB=FCommodities / futures · 20.5 · vol 26.4% | 5d 1721d 8265d 93200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 96.2th pct · +23.31% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-05 +5d 100% vs 49.6% +50.4med +0.37% · n2no group edge +10d 0% vs 49.4% -49.4med -3.82% · n2no group edge +21d 100% vs 49.9% +50.1med +1.32% · n1no group edge +63d no historyno group edge | no admitted setup |
| RSP/QQQES&P500 EW vs Nasdaq EWRatio spreads · 1.814 · vol 11.1% | 5d 421d 8965d 73200d 481 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -1.21% from MA · fresh episode +5d 52% vs 46.4% +5.3med +0.03% · n29no group edge +10d 41% vs 45.6% -4.2med -0.34% · n29no group edge +21d 45% vs 44.2% +0.6med -0.14% · n29no group edge +63d 48% vs 44.1% +4.0med -0.12% · n27no group edge | no admitted setup |
| AAPL/QQQAAPL vs QQQRatio spreads · 0.4738 · vol 28.4% | 5d 421d 7265d 74200d 761 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.8th pct · -2.34% from MA · fresh episode +5d 44% vs 53.6% -9.2med -0.17% · n36no group edge +10d 31% vs 55.1% -24.5med -1.17% · n36no group edge +21d 39% vs 55.7% -16.8med -1.57% · n36no group edge +63d 38% vs 58.0% -19.8med -1.83% · n34no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPLV/SPYLow-Vol vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.0972 · vol 16.7% | 5d 421d 9265d 71200d 411 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 3.9th pct · -1.37% from MA · fresh episode +5d 42% vs 45.1% -3.2med -0.30% · n43no group edge +10d 46% vs 44.0% +2.5med -0.02% · n43no group edge +21d 46% vs 40.9% +5.6med -0.22% · n43no group edge +63d 33% vs 37.1% -3.8med -2.13% · n42no group edge | no admitted setup |
| XLKEquity ETFs · 191.0 · vol 26.7% | 5d 9621d 2665d 38200d 771 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.1th pct · +2.43% from MA · fresh episode +5d 57% vs 59.6% -2.3med +0.79% · n75no group edge +10d 67% vs 62.5% +4.2med +1.05% · n75no group edge +21d 63% vs 66.5% -3.8med +2.09% · n75no group edge +63d 72% vs 75.1% -2.9med +6.20% · n72no group edge | no admitted setup |
| EMXC/SPYEMXC vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.1223 · vol 21.5% | 5d 9621d 1565d 19200d 471 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 96.1th pct · +1.62% from MA · fresh episode +5d 36% vs 46.3% -9.9med -0.90% · n33no group edge +10d 42% vs 45.4% -3.0med -0.46% · n33no group edge +21d 61% vs 43.3% +17.3med +0.74% · n33no group edge +63d 39% vs 35.3% +3.4med -2.36% · n31no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CMEStocks · 294.04 · vol 24.9% | 5d 421d 8365d 82200d 461 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.1th pct · -2.46% from MA · fresh episode +5d 69% vs 54.2% +14.8med +1.87% · n58no group edge +10d 64% vs 56.2% +7.6med +0.84% · n58no group edge +21d 66% vs 59.2% +6.3med +1.56% · n58no group edge +63d 67% vs 66.5% +0.7med +5.24% · n58no group edge | no admitted setup |
| WELLStocks · 227.2 · vol 23.3% | 5d 421d 2565d 20200d 361 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.1th pct · -2.84% from MA · fresh episode +5d 45% vs 56.7% -12.1med -0.32% · n65no group edge +10d 52% vs 58.8% -6.5med +0.22% · n65no group edge +21d 57% vs 60.8% -3.9med +1.50% · n65no group edge +63d 62% vs 71.3% -9.8med +7.10% · n65no group edge | no admitted setup |
| SPY/XLISPY vs XLIRatio spreads · 4.5837 · vol 12.3% | 5d 3821d 4565d 91200d 961 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg high · 95.8th pct · +9.01% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-14 +5d 100% vs 51.6% +48.4med +1.61% · n1no group edge +10d 100% vs 53.0% +47.0med +1.29% · n1no group edge +21d 100% vs 54.8% +45.2med +2.99% · n1momentum long +63d no historyno group edge | no admitted setup |
| ZW=FCommodities / futures · 643.25 · vol 27.5% | 5d 621d 465d 7200d 721 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg low · 4.3th pct · -5.80% from MA · fresh episode +5d 50% vs 44.8% +5.2med -1.22% · n2fade long +10d 0% vs 42.8% -42.8med -1.99% · n2no group edge +21d 0% vs 39.7% -39.7med -2.31% · n1momentum short +63d 100% vs 33.4% +66.6med +24.75% · n1momentum short | no admitted setup |
| XLI/SPYXLI vs SPYRatio spreads · 0.2182 · vol 12.3% | 5d 6221d 5565d 8200d 41 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 4.3th pct · -8.47% from MA · stretched since 2026-09-15 +5d 0% vs 48.3% -48.3med -1.22% · n1no group edge +10d 0% vs 47.0% -47.0med -0.71% · n1no group edge +21d 0% vs 45.2% -45.2med -2.62% · n1momentum short +63d no historyno group edge | no admitted setup |
| GC=F/^DJIGold vs DowRatio spreads · 0.0777 · vol 26.6% | 5d 7021d 1665d 14200d 41 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 4.4th pct · -14.97% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 33% vs 49.3% -16.0med -0.89% · n3no group edge +10d 0% vs 47.2% -47.2med -2.37% · n3no group edge +21d 0% vs 47.8% -47.8med -5.86% · n2momentum short +63d 50% vs 49.1% +0.9med -3.55% · n2no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CSXStocks · 51.98 · vol 22.4% | 5d 6521d 9665d 72200d 821 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.5th pct · +6.98% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 53% vs 54.3% -1.2med +0.42% · n32no group edge +10d 56% vs 57.2% -1.0med +0.95% · n32no group edge +21d 56% vs 59.9% -3.7med +1.78% · n32no group edge +63d 72% vs 65.3% +6.6med +2.90% · n32no group edge | no admitted setup |
| EXCStocks · 44.77 · vol 19.9% | 5d 5421d 9665d 67200d 381 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.5th pct · +5.18% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 53% vs 54.3% -1.5med +0.30% · n36no group edge +10d 47% vs 55.8% -8.6med -0.44% · n36no group edge +21d 56% vs 55.6% +0.0med +0.89% · n36no group edge +63d 56% vs 56.9% -1.3med +2.21% · n36no group edge | no admitted setup |
| JNJStocks · 271.04 · vol 20.7% | 5d 8921d 9665d 59200d 831 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.5th pct · +4.49% from MA · fresh episode +5d 47% vs 55.1% -7.7med -0.11% · n38no group edge +10d 66% vs 57.2% +8.6med +0.90% · n38no group edge +21d 76% vs 59.8% +16.5med +2.49% · n38no group edge +63d 58% vs 66.6% -8.3med +2.76% · n36no group edge | no admitted setup |
| CIStocks · 295.0 · vol 32.7% | 5d 521d 6165d 62200d 541 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.6th pct · -3.08% from MA · fresh episode +5d 57% vs 55.9% +1.0med +0.63% · n72no group edge +10d 62% vs 58.1% +4.4med +1.29% · n72no group edge +21d 53% vs 60.2% -7.4med +1.51% · n72no group edge +63d 56% vs 62.4% -6.8med +3.81% · n72no group edge | no admitted setup |
| GLDEquity ETFs · 373.51 · vol 28.3% | 5d 8321d 2665d 10200d 51 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 4.7th pct · -9.68% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 100% vs 53.9% +46.1med +1.72% · n4no group edge +10d 100% vs 54.3% +45.7med +1.81% · n4no group edge +21d 100% vs 53.4% +46.6med +1.83% · n3momentum short +63d 100% vs 58.4% +41.6med +10.60% · n3no group edge | no admitted setup |
| IAUEquity ETFs · 76.57 · vol 28.2% | 5d 8221d 2665d 10200d 51 of 4 legs at an extreme | 200-day leg low · 4.7th pct · -9.64% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-22 +5d 100% vs 53.1% +46.9med +1.75% · n4no group edge +10d 100% vs 54.2% +45.8med +1.83% · n4no group edge +21d 100% vs 53.1% +46.9med +1.85% · n3momentum short +63d 100% vs 58.5% +41.5med +10.67% · n3no group edge | no admitted setup |
| ICEStocks · 155.96 · vol 25.4% | 5d 521d 3865d 36200d 261 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.7th pct · -2.28% from MA · fresh episode +5d 58% vs 55.2% +2.7med +0.71% · n57no group edge +10d 60% vs 57.1% +2.5med +0.64% · n57no group edge +21d 70% vs 58.4% +11.8med +2.02% · n57no group edge +63d 71% vs 68.1% +3.3med +4.34% · n56no group edge | no admitted setup |
| MCKStocks · 960.56 · vol 31.0% | 5d 521d 4265d 73200d 631 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg low · 4.9th pct · -2.65% from MA · fresh episode +5d 62% vs 55.9% +5.6med +1.40% · n78no group edge +10d 65% vs 57.3% +8.1med +2.13% · n78no group edge +21d 63% vs 61.6% +1.2med +1.96% · n78no group edge +63d 66% vs 70.7% -4.5med +5.34% · n77no group edge | no admitted setup |
| KEYSStocks · 335.5 · vol 45.8% | 5d 9521d 865d 29200d 441 of 4 legs at an extreme | 5-day leg high · 95.1th pct · +3.30% from MA · fresh episode +5d 47% vs 55.7% -8.4med -0.37% · n55no group edge +10d 62% vs 56.8% +5.0med +2.45% · n55no group edge +21d 62% vs 57.9% +3.9med +2.62% · n55no group edge +63d 79% vs 68.3% +10.9med +9.26% · n53no group edge | no admitted setup |
| EDStocks · 114.15 · vol 17.7% | 5d 1621d 9565d 87200d 661 of 4 legs at an extreme | 21-day leg high · 95.0th pct · +4.63% from MA · stretched since 2026-10-14 +5d 60% vs 54.9% +5.6med +0.42% · n43no group edge +10d 60% vs 56.9% +3.6med +0.50% · n43no group edge +21d 55% vs 58.9% -4.1med +0.47% · n42no group edge +63d 45% vs 62.8% -17.6med -0.38% · n42no group edge | no admitted setup |
| Instrument | Call | Win vs base | Kelly / Brier / Blend | Structure | Exits | Portfolio Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META/QQQRatio spreads | 21-day low → fade long · 10d | 66.9% vs 49.5%OOS 52.5% vs 50.9% | 5.15 / 7.5 / 6.33% | ratio pair: long META / short QQQ | stop -7.89%21d leg back inside its 25-75th pct, or the house ladder | $11,869~15% of notional (Portfolio Margin stress) |
| Group · leg · side | +5d | +10d | +21d | +63d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stocks5-day leg stretched high | no group edge-3.0 pts vs own base · t -2.74 (517 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.7 pts vs own base · t -1.52 (517 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.8 pts vs own base · t -0.73 (517 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.4 pts vs own base · t -0.38 (517 wk)no test · |
| Stocks5-day leg stretched low | no group edge+1.3 pts vs own base · t 1.03 (504 wk)no test · | no group edge+1.7 pts vs own base · t 1.35 (504 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.7 pts vs own base · t 0.57 (504 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.6 pts vs own base · t 0.49 (504 wk)no test · |
| Stocks21-day leg stretched high | no group edge-4.5 pts vs own base · t -3.37 (482 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.4 pts vs own base · t -2.39 (482 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.2 pts vs own base · t -0.17 (482 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.8 pts vs own base · t -2.66 (482 wk)no test · |
| Stocks21-day leg stretched low | no group edge+2.2 pts vs own base · t 1.49 (456 wk)no test · | no group edge+1.1 pts vs own base · t 0.71 (456 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.2 pts vs own base · t 0.11 (456 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.6 pts vs own base · t 0.43 (456 wk)no test · |
| Stocks65-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-6.0 pts vs own base · t -3.77 (433 wk)q 0.0018 · 2023+ 51.0% vs 45.1% | fade short ✓-5.6 pts vs own base · t -3.57 (433 wk)q 0.0024 · 2023+ 45.7% vs 43.8% | fade short ✓-5.2 pts vs own base · t -3.36 (433 wk)q 0.004 · 2023+ 48.0% vs 42.1% | no group edge-4.0 pts vs own base · t -2.56 (433 wk)no test · |
| Stocks65-day leg stretched low | fade long ✓+5.4 pts vs own base · t 3.02 (402 wk)q 0.009 · 2023+ 56.9% vs 53.5% | no group edge+3.0 pts vs own base · t 1.6 (402 wk)no test · | no group edge+3.2 pts vs own base · t 1.76 (402 wk)no test · | no group edge+2.2 pts vs own base · t 1.3 (402 wk)no test · |
| Stocks200-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-5.9 pts vs own base · t -3.25 (376 wk)q 0.0049 · 2023+ 49.6% vs 45.4% | no group edge-4.8 pts vs own base · t -2.58 (376 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.9 pts vs own base · t -1.55 (376 wk)no test · | no group edge-4.0 pts vs own base · t -2.19 (376 wk)no test · |
| Stocks200-day leg stretched low | fade long ✓+5.5 pts vs own base · t 2.91 (362 wk)q 0.01 · 2023+ 61.9% vs 53.3% | no group edge+3.6 pts vs own base · t 1.8 (362 wk)no test · | no group edge+4.1 pts vs own base · t 2.12 (362 wk)no test · | no group edge+2.4 pts vs own base · t 1.28 (362 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs5-day leg stretched high | no group edge-1.4 pts vs own base · t -0.52 (258 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.2 pts vs own base · t -0.8 (258 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.0 pts vs own base · t -1.1 (258 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.5 pts vs own base · t -0.95 (258 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs5-day leg stretched low | no group edge+2.2 pts vs own base · t 0.76 (226 wk)no test · | no group edge+3.7 pts vs own base · t 1.27 (226 wk)no test · | fade long ✓+6.4 pts vs own base · t 2.29 (226 wk)q 0.0281 · 2023+ 65.6% vs 63.3% | no group edge+0.3 pts vs own base · t 0.1 (226 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs21-day leg stretched high | no group edge-1.0 pts vs own base · t -0.33 (187 wk)no test · | no group edge+4.2 pts vs own base · t 1.33 (187 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.9 pts vs own base · t -1.19 (187 wk)no test · | fade short ✓-7.3 pts vs own base · t -2.19 (187 wk)q 0.0304 · 2023+ 25.1% vs 23.9% |
| Equity ETFs21-day leg stretched low | no group edge+4.7 pts vs own base · t 1.32 (150 wk)no test · | fade long ✓+6.2 pts vs own base · t 1.75 (150 wk)q 0.0659 · 2023+ 70.3% vs 60.4% | fade long ✓+7.9 pts vs own base · t 2.24 (150 wk)q 0.0283 · 2023+ 73.6% vs 64.3% | no group edge+1.7 pts vs own base · t 0.49 (150 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs65-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-8.9 pts vs own base · t -2.42 (155 wk)q 0.0246 · 2023+ 51.1% vs 42.0% | no group edge-4.2 pts vs own base · t -1.14 (155 wk)no test · | fade short ✓-9.4 pts vs own base · t -2.54 (155 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 38.2% vs 34.6% | no group edge+0.3 pts vs own base · t 0.08 (155 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs65-day leg stretched low | no group edge+4.2 pts vs own base · t 0.9 (90 wk)no test · | no group edge+4.3 pts vs own base · t 0.92 (90 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.1 pts vs own base · t -0.23 (90 wk)no test · | no group edge+4.0 pts vs own base · t 0.88 (90 wk)no test · |
| Equity ETFs200-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-5.2 pts vs own base · t -1.25 (115 wk)q 0.1328 · 2023+ 54.1% vs 42.2% | no group edge+4.3 pts vs own base · t 1.02 (115 wk)no test · | no group edge-4.4 pts vs own base · t -1.01 (115 wk)no test · | momentum long+7.1 pts vs own base · t 1.77 (115 wk)q 0.0659 · 2023+ 72.9% vs 77.7% |
| Equity ETFs200-day leg stretched low | no group edge+3.4 pts vs own base · t 0.73 (88 wk)no test · | no group edge+3.1 pts vs own base · t 0.64 (88 wk)no test · | momentum short-8.7 pts vs own base · t -1.72 (88 wk)q 0.0704 · 2023+ 22.4% vs 38.2% | no group edge-2.4 pts vs own base · t -0.5 (88 wk)no test · |
| Bond ETFs5-day leg stretched high | fade short-9.6 pts vs own base · t -2.3 (128 wk)q 0.0281 · 2023+ 43.0% vs 47.6% | no group edge-4.0 pts vs own base · t -0.97 (128 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.2 pts vs own base · t -0.3 (128 wk)no test · | no group edge+4.3 pts vs own base · t 1.12 (128 wk)no test · |
| Bond ETFs5-day leg stretched low | no group edge+1.6 pts vs own base · t 0.37 (115 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.2 pts vs own base · t -0.04 (115 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.2 pts vs own base · t -0.29 (115 wk)no test · | no group edge-7.0 pts vs own base · t -1.6 (115 wk)no test · |
| Bond ETFs21-day leg stretched high | no group edge-3.6 pts vs own base · t -0.61 (68 wk)no test · | no group edge+2.0 pts vs own base · t 0.36 (68 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.5 pts vs own base · t 0.09 (68 wk)no test · | momentum long ✓+7.5 pts vs own base · t 1.42 (68 wk)q 0.1081 · 2023+ 65.0% vs 58.9% |
| Bond ETFs21-day leg stretched low | no group edge-0.8 pts vs own base · t -0.14 (58 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.2 pts vs own base · t -0.36 (58 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.5 pts vs own base · t -0.55 (58 wk)no test · | momentum short-19.0 pts vs own base · t -3.08 (58 wk)q 0.0093 · 2023+ 31.5% vs 42.0% |
| Bond ETFs65-day leg stretched high | fade short-5.0 pts vs own base · t -0.71 (44 wk)q 0.2405 · 2023+ 42.6% vs 47.8% | no group edge-1.9 pts vs own base · t -0.25 (44 wk)no test · | fade short-5.4 pts vs own base · t -0.78 (44 wk)q 0.2353 · 2023+ 48.4% vs 44.7% | momentum long ✓+6.5 pts vs own base · t 1.01 (44 wk)q 0.182 · 2023+ 60.0% vs 58.6% |
| Bond ETFs65-day leg stretched low | momentum short-13.6 pts vs own base · t -1.82 (40 wk)q 0.0659 · 2023+ 25.0% vs 47.7% | momentum short-11.7 pts vs own base · t -1.53 (40 wk)q 0.096 · 2023+ 29.8% vs 46.8% | momentum short-20.1 pts vs own base · t -2.61 (40 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 23.8% vs 44.6% | momentum short-29.6 pts vs own base · t -4.05 (40 wk)q 0.0018 · 2023+ 25.0% vs 42.2% |
| Bond ETFs200-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-9.2 pts vs own base · t -1.06 (30 wk)q 0.1778 · 2023+ 53.8% vs 47.1% | no group edge+3.6 pts vs own base · t 0.41 (30 wk)no test · | no group edge+3.6 pts vs own base · t 0.43 (30 wk)no test · | momentum long+24.2 pts vs own base · t 4.79 (30 wk)q 0.0011 · 2023+ 30.8% vs 61.2% |
| Bond ETFs200-day leg stretched low | no group edge+2.8 pts vs own base · t 0.32 (26 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.0 pts vs own base · t -0.21 (26 wk)no test · | momentum short-13.0 pts vs own base · t -1.33 (26 wk)q 0.1235 · 2023+ thin (5 wk) | momentum short-8.9 pts vs own base · t -0.95 (26 wk)q 0.1971 · 2023+ thin (3 wk) |
| Commodities / futures5-day leg stretched high | no group edge-4.8 pts vs own base · t -0.82 (67 wk)no test · | fade short ✓-5.5 pts vs own base · t -0.91 (67 wk)q 0.1996 · 2023+ 56.6% vs 50.9% | no group edge-0.0 pts vs own base · t -0.01 (67 wk)no test · | no group edge+3.4 pts vs own base · t 0.6 (67 wk)no test · |
| Commodities / futures5-day leg stretched low | momentum short-9.6 pts vs own base · t -1.49 (59 wk)q 0.0976 · 2023+ 46.2% vs 50.8% | no group edge+0.5 pts vs own base · t 0.08 (59 wk)no test · | no group edge+5.0 pts vs own base · t 0.78 (59 wk)no test · | no group edge-4.8 pts vs own base · t -0.75 (59 wk)no test · |
| Commodities / futures21-day leg stretched high | fade short-16.6 pts vs own base · t -1.92 (29 wk)q 0.0608 · 2023+ 45.3% vs 50.5% | no group edge-0.3 pts vs own base · t -0.04 (29 wk)no test · | no group edge-3.6 pts vs own base · t -0.38 (29 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.4 pts vs own base · t 0.04 (29 wk)no test · |
| Commodities / futures21-day leg stretched low | fade long+6.3 pts vs own base · t 0.74 (34 wk)q 0.2405 · 2023+ 45.4% vs 49.2% | no group edge+4.0 pts vs own base · t 0.47 (34 wk)no test · | momentum short-6.0 pts vs own base · t -0.72 (34 wk)q 0.2405 · 2023+ 48.9% vs 50.7% | momentum short-8.8 pts vs own base · t -1.05 (34 wk)q 0.1778 · 2023+ 47.1% vs 52.2% |
| Commodities / futures65-day leg stretched low | momentum short ✓-17.7 pts vs own base · t -1.68 (21 wk)q 0.0816 · 2023+ 60.2% vs 51.0% | no group edge-2.6 pts vs own base · t -0.24 (21 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.4 pts vs own base · t -0.22 (21 wk)no test · | momentum short ✓-27.3 pts vs own base · t -2.85 (21 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 57.9% vs 52.6% |
| Ratio spreads5-day leg stretched high | no group edge-2.2 pts vs own base · t -1.03 (155 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.9 pts vs own base · t -0.42 (155 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.6 pts vs own base · t -0.27 (155 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.1 pts vs own base · t -1.02 (155 wk)no test · |
| Ratio spreads5-day leg stretched low | no group edge+1.8 pts vs own base · t 0.77 (151 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.7 pts vs own base · t 0.3 (151 wk)no test · | no group edge+0.7 pts vs own base · t 0.31 (151 wk)no test · | no group edge+2.4 pts vs own base · t 1.05 (151 wk)no test · |
| Ratio spreads21-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-6.3 pts vs own base · t -2.26 (143 wk)q 0.0281 · 2023+ 55.6% vs 48.4% | no group edge-4.1 pts vs own base · t -1.42 (143 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.7 pts vs own base · t -0.58 (143 wk)no test · | fade short ✓-6.6 pts vs own base · t -2.27 (143 wk)q 0.0281 · 2023+ 53.2% vs 44.4% |
| Ratio spreads21-day leg stretched low | fade long ✓+7.0 pts vs own base · t 2.51 (137 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 51.7% vs 50.2% | fade long ✓+7.6 pts vs own base · t 2.53 (137 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 52.5% vs 50.9% | fade long+7.1 pts vs own base · t 2.56 (137 wk)q 0.0209 · 2023+ 50.9% vs 50.9% | no group edge+3.4 pts vs own base · t 1.18 (137 wk)no test · |
| Ratio spreads65-day leg stretched high | fade short ✓-8.0 pts vs own base · t -2.39 (121 wk)q 0.0252 · 2023+ 54.7% vs 48.2% | fade short ✓-6.4 pts vs own base · t -1.89 (121 wk)q 0.0595 · 2023+ 52.2% vs 47.1% | no group edge+0.6 pts vs own base · t 0.17 (121 wk)no test · | fade short ✓-6.5 pts vs own base · t -1.76 (121 wk)q 0.0659 · 2023+ 51.6% vs 43.6% |
| Ratio spreads65-day leg stretched low | no group edge-0.6 pts vs own base · t -0.15 (110 wk)no test · | no group edge-1.6 pts vs own base · t -0.41 (110 wk)no test · | no group edge+1.2 pts vs own base · t 0.33 (110 wk)no test · | no group edge-2.8 pts vs own base · t -0.77 (110 wk)no test · |
| Ratio spreads200-day leg stretched high | no group edge+0.7 pts vs own base · t 0.15 (73 wk)no test · | no group edge+5.1 pts vs own base · t 1.04 (73 wk)no test · | momentum long+7.2 pts vs own base · t 1.54 (73 wk)q 0.0937 · 2023+ 43.2% vs 54.4% | no group edge-3.8 pts vs own base · t -0.71 (73 wk)no test · |
| Ratio spreads200-day leg stretched low | no group edge+3.0 pts vs own base · t 0.6 (72 wk)no test · | no group edge-0.9 pts vs own base · t -0.17 (72 wk)no test · | momentum short-6.3 pts vs own base · t -1.35 (72 wk)q 0.1182 · 2023+ 47.0% vs 52.1% | no group edge-0.0 pts vs own base · t -0.01 (72 wk)no test · |