STORM Book — Weighted Top-10 Model Portfolio
Every Trading-Ideas signal, scored by outcome potential and conviction-weighted into a 10-name book · entered 50% at the 8/28 close + 50% at the 8/31 open · re-ranks each build · 9L / 1S · Updated August 31, 2026 · 6:49 PM ET
Model book
conviction-weighted
Direction
net +72% · gross 100%
Wtd 21d edge
expected move, trade direction
Wtd win rate
prior instances positive at 21d
Top weight
^VIX/^VXN
Every current signal across the three Trading-Ideas scanners — Trigger Portal, Large Movers and 65-Day Touch & Go — scored by STORM outcome potential (the size of its own historical 21-day edge × sample × win-conviction, boosted when more than one scanner flags the same name), de-duped to one line per instrument, and the best 10 conviction-weighted into a model book (bigger edge → bigger weight, summing to 100%). Each name carries a Take-It scaled exit sized off its own edge. The book re-ranks every build, so it always reflects the live signal set. Each position is scaled in over two tranches — 50% at the prior session's close and 50% at today's open (for this book, the 8/28/26 close and the 8/31/26 open); the Entry column shows the blended basis, and targets/stops/ladders are measured from it. Click any row 📈 for the forward-return paths of that trade against every prior instance of its signal, plus a table of those events.
^VIX/^VXN
AVGO
CRWD
MS
LLY
TJX
KLAC
UNP
ETN
AMZN
⚠ Concentration. This is a pure outcome-potential ranking, and in the current regime the highest-edge signals cluster — the book is 9 long / 1 short and heavy in stocks (momentum / semis / mega-cap tech). Treat it as a directional momentum basket, not a diversified portfolio: the names are correlated, so the real risk is larger than the per-name stops imply. Size the sleeve accordingly.
#WtInstrumentTradeSignal · source n5d21dWinScoreEntryT1Stop
114.0%^VIX/^VXN Ratio 📈▼ ShortDecile extreme · +7.7% vs 21d · top 10%
Trigger Portal
158-4.0%-6.0%27%4.810.739
single fill
0.717
+2.99%
0.828
-11.96%
213.6%AVGO Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%
Trigger Portal
128+2.3%+5.7%75%4.67369.12
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
379.57
+2.83%
327.26
-11.34%
312.8%CRWD Stock 📈▲ Long+22.1% / 3d · +2.3σ
Large Movers · Trigger Portal
41+0.7%+5.8%68%4.41219.91
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
226.24
+2.88%
194.62
-11.5%
411.7%MS Stock 📈▲ Long65d Reclaim · -0.8% vs 65d
Touch & Go
61+1.0%+4.9%74%4.01214.54
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
219.81
+2.46%
193.38
-9.86%
511.1%LLY Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · -3.6% vs 21d · bottom 10%
Trigger Portal · Touch & Go
131+1.0%+4.0%69%3.821,171.54
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
1,195.21
+2.02%
1,077.11
-8.06%
68.7%TJX Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · -9.7% vs 21d · bottom 10%
Large Movers · Trigger Portal
127+0.9%+3.2%68%2.98135.11
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
137.26
+1.59%
126.49
-6.38%
77.6%KLAC Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · -8.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%
Trigger Portal
126+1.1%+3.4%69%2.61175.87
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
178.90
+1.72%
163.77
-6.88%
87.0%UNP Stock 📈▲ Long-2.2% / 1d · -2.1σ
Large Movers
107+0.7%+3.3%66%2.40306.32
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
311.40
+1.66%
286.04
-6.62%
96.9%ETN Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · -7.2% vs 21d · bottom 10%
Trigger Portal · Touch & Go
138+1.7%+2.9%59%2.38402.89
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
408.81
+1.47%
379.28
-5.86%
106.7%AMZN Stock 📈▲ Long21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago
Trigger Portal
83+0.8%+3.4%63%2.32265.13
50% 8/28c · 50% 8/31o
269.58
+1.68%
247.36
-6.7%
Score = |21-day median forward return| × min(n,50)/50 × win-conviction, ×1.25 per extra scanner in agreement (★), ×1.1 when the 5-day edge confirms the 21-day. Weight = score ÷ total, so the book is conviction-weighted. T1 is the first take (½ of the historical 21-day edge); Stop is the mirror at 2× that edge. Small n = anecdote — the score already discounts it, but read the linked research before acting.
Take-It scaled-exit ladders · enter 100% · scale 20 / 30 / 30 / 20 · mirror the loss-taker
^VIX/^VXN · 14.0%blended target +7.47%
entry 0.739 (single fill)
▲ Take
20%0.717+2.99%
30%0.695+5.98%
30%0.673+8.97%
20%0.651+11.96%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%0.761-2.99%
30%0.784-5.98%
30%0.806-8.97%
20%0.828-11.96%
AVGO · 13.6%blended target +7.08%
entry 369.12 = 50% @ 368.79 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 369.45 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%379.57+2.83%
30%390.05+5.67%
30%400.50+8.5%
20%410.98+11.34%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%358.68-2.83%
30%348.19-5.67%
30%337.75-8.5%
20%327.26-11.34%
CRWD · 12.8%blended target +7.19%
entry 219.91 = 50% @ 218.40 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 221.42 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%226.24+2.88%
30%232.55+5.75%
30%238.87+8.62%
20%245.20+11.5%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%213.58-2.88%
30%207.27-5.75%
30%200.95-8.62%
20%194.62-11.5%
MS · 11.7%blended target +6.16%
entry 214.54 = 50% @ 214.77 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 214.30 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%219.81+2.46%
30%225.11+4.93%
30%230.39+7.39%
20%235.69+9.86%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%209.26-2.46%
30%203.96-4.93%
30%198.68-7.39%
20%193.38-9.86%
LLY · 11.1%blended target +5.04%
entry 1,171.54 = 50% @ 1,174.61 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 1,168.47 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%1,195.21+2.02%
30%1,218.75+4.03%
30%1,242.30+6.04%
20%1,265.97+8.06%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%1,147.87-2.02%
30%1,124.33-4.03%
30%1,100.78-6.04%
20%1,077.11-8.06%
TJX · 8.7%blended target +3.99%
entry 135.11 = 50% @ 135.12 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 135.10 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%137.26+1.59%
30%139.42+3.19%
30%141.58+4.79%
20%143.73+6.38%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%132.96-1.59%
30%130.80-3.19%
30%128.64-4.79%
20%126.49-6.38%
KLAC · 7.6%blended target +4.3%
entry 175.87 = 50% @ 175.54 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 176.21 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%178.90+1.72%
30%181.92+3.44%
30%184.95+5.16%
20%187.97+6.88%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%172.85-1.72%
30%169.82-3.44%
30%166.80-5.16%
20%163.77-6.88%
UNP · 7.0%blended target +4.14%
entry 306.32 = 50% @ 307.41 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 305.23 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%311.40+1.66%
30%316.46+3.31%
30%321.51+4.96%
20%326.60+6.62%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%301.24-1.66%
30%296.18-3.31%
30%291.13-4.96%
20%286.04-6.62%
ETN · 6.9%blended target +3.67%
entry 402.89 = 50% @ 402.78 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 403.00 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%408.81+1.47%
30%414.69+2.93%
30%420.62+4.4%
20%426.50+5.86%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%396.97-1.47%
30%391.09-2.93%
30%385.16-4.4%
20%379.28-5.86%
AMZN · 6.7%blended target +4.19%
entry 265.13 = 50% @ 266.43 (8/28 close) + 50% @ 263.83 (8/31 open)
▲ Take
20%269.58+1.68%
30%274.01+3.35%
30%278.46+5.03%
20%282.89+6.7%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%260.67-1.68%
30%256.25-3.35%
30%251.79-5.03%
20%247.36-6.7%
Each ladder is sized off that name's own 21-day edge: profit rungs at 0.5× / 1.0× / 1.5× / 2.0× the historical median, the loss-taker mirroring the same distances on the downside with the 2.0× rung as the hard stop. Levels recompute from the live entry each build.