STORM Book — Weighted Top-10 Model Portfolio
Every Trading-Ideas signal, scored by outcome potential and conviction-weighted into a 10-name book · entered 50% at the 10/28 close + 50% at the 10/29 open · re-ranks each build · 10L / 0S · Updated October 29, 2026 · 4:15 PM ET
⚡ INTRADAY · PROVISIONAL — scores & entries as of October 29, 2026 · 4:15 PM ET · the book re-ranks off the live (delayed) price; the close is authoritative
Model book
conviction-weighted
Direction
net +100% · gross 100%
Wtd 21d edge
expected move, trade direction
Wtd win rate
prior instances positive at 21d
Top weight
CAT
Every current signal across the three Trading-Ideas scanners — Trigger Portal, Large Movers and 65-Day Touch & Go — scored by STORM outcome potential (the size of its own historical 21-day edge × sample × win-conviction, boosted when more than one scanner flags the same name), de-duped to one line per instrument, and the best 10 conviction-weighted into a model book (bigger edge → bigger weight, summing to 100%). Each name carries a Take-It scaled exit sized off its own edge. The book re-ranks every build, so it always reflects the live signal set. Each position is scaled in over two tranches — 50% at the prior session's close and 50% at today's open (for this book, the 10/28/26 close and the 10/29/26 open); the Entry column shows the blended basis, and targets/stops/ladders are measured from it. Click any row 📈 for the forward-return paths of that trade against every prior instance of its signal, plus a table of those events.
CAT
NOW
PANW
^OVX/^VIX
MO
GE
APH
MU
XOM
PM
⚠ Concentration. This is a pure outcome-potential ranking, and in the current regime the highest-edge signals cluster — the book is 10 long / 0 short and heavy in stocks (momentum / semis / mega-cap tech). Treat it as a directional momentum basket, not a diversified portfolio: the names are correlated, so the real risk is larger than the per-name stops imply. Size the sleeve accordingly.
#WtInstrumentTradeSignal · source n5d21dWinScoreEntryT1Stop
118.5%CAT Stock 📈▲ LongStretch Z-extreme · Z -2.6
Large Movers · Trigger Portal ★
21+2.1%+11.9%90%6.20674.86
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
715.08
+5.96%
513.83
-23.86%
212.4%NOW Stock 📈▲ Long-26.9% / 1d · -4.2σ
Large Movers · Trigger Portal ★
97+1.1%+4.6%66%4.14135.52
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
138.61
+2.28%
123.16
-9.12%
312.3%PANW Stock 📈▲ Long21d Alignment cross · crossed 3d ago
Trigger Portal · Touch & Go ★
69+1.7%+4.7%64%4.11381.66
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
390.55
+2.33%
346.01
-9.34%
410.6%^OVX/^VIX Ratio 📈▲ Long21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago
Trigger Portal
87+2.5%+5.5%59%3.543.392
single fill
3.484
+2.73%
3.021
-10.92%
58.9%MO Stock 📈▲ Long+5.1% / 1d · +3.0σ
Large Movers · Trigger Portal ★
102+0.5%+2.9%74%2.9774.14
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
75.22
+1.46%
69.81
-5.84%
67.7%GE Stock 📈▲ Long+8.6% / 3d · +2.8σ
Large Movers · Trigger Portal ★
79+1.3%+3.1%61%2.57301.97
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
306.59
+1.53%
283.49
-6.12%
77.6%APH Stock 📈▲ Long21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago
Large Movers · Trigger Portal ★
101+0.8%+2.9%63%2.5481.22
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
82.42
+1.47%
76.45
-5.88%
87.5%MU Stock 📈▲ Long21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago
Trigger Portal
85+1.7%+3.8%61%2.52975.58
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
993.92
+1.88%
902.22
-7.52%
97.4%XOM Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · +5.1% vs 21d · top 10%
Trigger Portal
120+0.1%+3.4%66%2.49182.89
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
186.02
+1.71%
170.38
-6.84%
107.0%PM Stock 📈▲ LongDecile extreme · +5.0% vs 21d · top 10%
Trigger Portal
133+0.6%+3.2%67%2.35204.18
50% 10/28c · 50% 10/29o
207.43
+1.59%
191.16
-6.38%
Score = |21-day median forward return| × min(n,50)/50 × win-conviction, ×1.25 per extra scanner in agreement (★), ×1.1 when the 5-day edge confirms the 21-day. Weight = score ÷ total, so the book is conviction-weighted. T1 is the first take (½ of the historical 21-day edge); Stop is the mirror at 2× that edge. Small n = anecdote — the score already discounts it, but read the linked research before acting.
Take-It scaled-exit ladders · enter 100% · scale 20 / 30 / 30 / 20 · mirror the loss-taker
CAT · 18.5%blended target +14.91%
entry 674.86 = 50% @ 713.38 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 636.33 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%715.08+5.96%
30%755.37+11.93%
30%795.59+17.89%
20%835.88+23.86%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%634.63-5.96%
30%594.34-11.93%
30%554.12-17.89%
20%513.83-23.86%
NOW · 12.4%blended target +5.7%
entry 135.52 = 50% @ 150.13 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 120.90 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%138.61+2.28%
30%141.70+4.56%
30%144.79+6.84%
20%147.88+9.12%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%132.43-2.28%
30%129.34-4.56%
30%126.25-6.84%
20%123.16-9.12%
PANW · 12.3%blended target +5.83%
entry 381.66 = 50% @ 394.49 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 368.83 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%390.55+2.33%
30%399.48+4.67%
30%408.38+7%
20%417.31+9.34%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%372.77-2.33%
30%363.84-4.67%
30%354.94-7%
20%346.01-9.34%
^OVX/^VIX · 10.6%blended target +6.83%
entry 3.392 (single fill)
▲ Take
20%3.484+2.73%
30%3.577+5.46%
30%3.669+8.19%
20%3.762+10.92%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%3.299-2.73%
30%3.207-5.46%
30%3.114-8.19%
20%3.021-10.92%
MO · 8.9%blended target +3.65%
entry 74.14 = 50% @ 72.99 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 75.29 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%75.22+1.46%
30%76.30+2.92%
30%77.39+4.38%
20%78.47+5.84%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%73.06-1.46%
30%71.98-2.92%
30%70.89-4.38%
20%69.81-5.84%
GE · 7.7%blended target +3.83%
entry 301.97 = 50% @ 301.13 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 302.81 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%306.59+1.53%
30%311.21+3.06%
30%315.83+4.59%
20%320.45+6.12%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%297.35-1.53%
30%292.73-3.06%
30%288.11-4.59%
20%283.49-6.12%
APH · 7.6%blended target +3.67%
entry 81.22 = 50% @ 80.96 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 81.49 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%82.42+1.47%
30%83.61+2.94%
30%84.80+4.41%
20%86.00+5.88%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%80.03-1.47%
30%78.83-2.94%
30%77.64-4.41%
20%76.45-5.88%
MU · 7.5%blended target +4.7%
entry 975.58 = 50% @ 983.23 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 967.93 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%993.92+1.88%
30%1,012.26+3.76%
30%1,030.61+5.64%
20%1,048.95+7.52%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%957.24-1.88%
30%938.90-3.76%
30%920.56-5.64%
20%902.22-7.52%
XOM · 7.4%blended target +4.28%
entry 182.89 = 50% @ 182.02 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 183.76 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%186.02+1.71%
30%189.15+3.42%
30%192.27+5.13%
20%195.40+6.84%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%179.77-1.71%
30%176.64-3.42%
30%173.51-5.13%
20%170.38-6.84%
PM · 7.0%blended target +3.99%
entry 204.18 = 50% @ 202.64 (10/28 close) + 50% @ 205.73 (10/29 open)
▲ Take
20%207.43+1.59%
30%210.70+3.19%
30%213.97+4.79%
20%217.21+6.38%
▼ Cut (mirror)
20%200.94-1.59%
30%197.67-3.19%
30%194.40-4.79%
20%191.16-6.38%
Each ladder is sized off that name's own 21-day edge: profit rungs at 0.5× / 1.0× / 1.5× / 2.0× the historical median, the loss-taker mirroring the same distances on the downside with the 2.0× rung as the hard stop. Levels recompute from the live entry each build.