Alpha Query — The Board

◆ The thesis — fade behavioral exhaustion

Enter at the point of maximum stress reversal: probability-first, exit-before-entry, sized by edge. Every extreme below is scored by STORM and gated by this thesis. Fade/reversion setups pass by default. Momentum must earn its seat — a trend signal reaches Bucket 1 only when its own forward study clears win ≥ 60% and n ≥ 8 in the trade's direction (the Soybean rule); otherwise it is parked. Read the first principles ›

Names

176

146L / 30S

◎ Bucket 1 · Act

thesis-cleared

Bucket 2 · Watch

lower conviction

Bucket 3 · Parked

momentum, no edge

Confluence

multi-scanner names

◆ Best Odds · by strike ratethe same graded field re-sorted by 21-day WIN% (n ≥ 20) — highest historical odds first, regardless of STORM score. Note: raw odds favour low-move index ETFs; weigh Win% against the 21d edge.

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	CAT🆕	Stock	21d Low · -9.3% +3	▲ Long	7.44	+11.9%	90%	21	◆ Fade	🚀📊⚡×3
2	JEPI🆕	ETF	+1.2% / 2d · +2.5σ	▲ Long	0.70	+1.4%	85%	27	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊
3	T	Stock	Stretch Z-extreme · Z -2.3 +1	▲ Long	1.45	+3.1%	81%	26	◆ Fade	⚡
4	SPY/XLRE🆕	Ratio	-2.5% / 1d · -2.0σ +1	▲ Long	1.69	+1.6%	75%	55	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
5	AMZN🆕	Stock	21d Low · -4.2% +1	▲ Long	2.20	+3.4%	74%	28	◆ Fade	🚀🔀×2
6	MO🆕	Stock	500d High · +5.1% +2	▲ Long	3.56	+2.9%	74%	102	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
7	HD🆕	Stock	21d High · +3.6% +1	▲ Long	3.04	+4.2%	70%	30	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀⚡×2
8	XLK🆕	ETF	65d Touch · +0.1% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.65	+2.1%	70%	115	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯
9	QQQ	ETF	65d Touch · -1.0% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.52	+2.0%	70%	103	◆ Fade	🎯
10	SPY/XHB🆕	Ratio	21d Low · -3.6% +1	▲ Long	0.74	+1.6%	70%	20	◆ Fade · pair	🚀⚡×2
11	VGT🆕	ETF	65d Touch · +0.4% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.72	+2.3%	69%	103	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯
12	MCD🆕	Stock	+2.7% / 1d · +2.3σ +1	▲ Long	1.65	+1.7%	69%	130	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
13	JNJ	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.9% vs 21d · top 10% +1	▲ Long	1.32	+1.7%	69%	131	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
14	DGRO🆕	ETF	+5.6% / 15d · +2.7σ +1	▲ Long	1.42	+1.5%	69%	93	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
15	SCHD🆕	ETF	+7.4% / 15d · +2.5σ +1	▲ Long	1.36	+1.4%	69%	115	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
16	MUB🆕	ETF	+3.1% / 15d · +2.4σ +1	▲ Long	0.56	+0.6%	69%	62	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
17	CRWD	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 4d ago	▲ Long	2.08	+5.0%	68%	28	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
18	VWO🆕	ETF	Stretch Z-extreme · Z -2.0 +1	▲ Long	1.59	+4.3%	68%	25	◆ Fade	⚡

◆ Research Watchconditional setups drawn from your studies — human judgement, NOT scanner-scored · a watch is not a position until its trigger fires

HG1 · Copper via CPER / COPX

WAIT Long — conditional

Close-basis breakout under live resistance. The quant cohort places it in the 2025–26 tariff regime, which retests 7–15% lower before resolving positive at 26 weeks — a TEF setup: fade the exhaustion print, exit-before-entry, size by the thin edge.

EntryDo NOT chase the 6.52 breakout. Accumulate the structural dip ~7–15% lower (≈ 5.55–6.06).

InvalidateWeekly close < ~6.14 shelf → failed breakout, stand down.

ConfirmLME must participate in any take-out of the 6.716 intraday ATH — otherwise it's a false, HG-only move.

SizeSmall starter only — heavy sample-size discount (n=9). Quarter-Kelly at most.

Horizon13–26 wks for the +25.5% higher-highs; 4–8 wks is a coin flip (modal −7% to −15% retest first).

HedgeShort spread leg / LME-linked; avoid unhedged long COMEX into the tariff policy window.

⚠ AI-generated briefing (NotebookLM). The stats (n=9, +25.5%, −21.2% worst DD, Jun-30-'25 analog) are the notebook's, not verified market data — re-derive the copper event study against real HG1 history before sizing real money.

📄 open study ↗📊 base rate ↗watch since 2026-07-20 · promote via promote.py when triggered

◎ Bucket 1 · ACThigh-conviction, thesis-cleared — STORM ≥ 60th-pctile & n ≥ 8 (fades on-thesis; momentum edge-gated)

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	CAT🆕	Stock	21d Low · -9.3% +3	▲ Long	7.44	+11.9%	90%	21	◆ Fade	🚀📊⚡×3
2	NOW🆕	Stock	21d Low · -27.0% +3	▲ Long	4.97	+4.6%	66%	97	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
3	PANW🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +2	▲ Long	4.11	+4.7%	64%	69	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
4	MO🆕	Stock	500d High · +5.1% +2	▲ Long	3.56	+2.9%	74%	102	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
5	^OVX/^VIX	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago	▲ Long	3.54	+5.5%	59%	87	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
6	GOOGL🆕	Stock	21d Low · -12.6% +4	▲ Long	3.45	+2.8%	65%	62	◆ Fade	🚀📊🔀⚡×4
7	VIX term structure (short vs mid)	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago)	▼ Short	3.20	-6.8%	29%	24	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
8	HD🆕	Stock	21d High · +3.6% +1	▲ Long	3.04	+4.2%	70%	30	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀⚡×2
9	LOW🆕	Stock	21d High · +4.5% +2	▲ Long	3.04	+2.9%	64%	59	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
10	PLD🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.64	+3.2%	63%	38	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
11	GE🆕	Stock	+8.6% / 3d · +2.8σ +1	▲ Long	2.57	+3.1%	61%	79	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
12	APH🆕	Stock	+12.4% / 5d · +2.1σ +1	▲ Long	2.54	+2.9%	63%	101	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
13	MU🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	2.52	+3.8%	61%	85	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
14	XOM	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	2.49	+3.4%	66%	120	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
15	PM🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.0% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	2.35	+3.2%	67%	133	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
16	COP🆕	Stock	+11.9% / 15d · +2.1σ +1	▲ Long	2.30	+2.7%	62%	117	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
17	AMZN🆕	Stock	21d Low · -4.2% +1	▲ Long	2.20	+3.4%	74%	28	◆ Fade	🚀🔀×2
18	ICE🆕	Stock	+4.7% / 1d · +2.5σ +3	▲ Long	2.13	+2.1%	62%	110	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡🎯×3
19	LRCX	Stock	Decile extreme · -11.2% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	2.09	+3.1%	62%	126	◆ Fade	⚡
20	CRWD	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 4d ago	▲ Long	2.08	+5.0%	68%	28	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
21	SPGI🆕	Stock	+14.3% / 15d · +2.7σ +1	▲ Long	2.06	+2.4%	62%	131	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
22	META🆕	Stock	-15.2% / 10d · -2.1σ +2	▲ Long	2.06	+2.2%	57%	109	◆ Fade	📊🔀⚡×3
23	LLY🆕	Stock	500d High · +6.6% +2	▲ Long	2.01	+2.0%	62%	119	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
24	AVGO🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.99	+2.9%	62%	204	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
25	KLAC🆕	Stock	+12.2% / 3d · +2.0σ	▲ Long	1.87	+2.7%	62%	78	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊
26	ISRG🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.8w ago)	▲ Long	1.77	+2.7%	62%	38	◆ Fade	🔀
27	VV🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.75	+1.9%	67%	121	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
28	VTI🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.73	+1.9%	68%	124	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
29	VGT🆕	ETF	65d Touch · +0.4% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.72	+2.3%	69%	103	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯
30	SPY/XLRE🆕	Ratio	-2.5% / 1d · -2.0σ +1	▲ Long	1.69	+1.6%	75%	55	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
31	ITOT🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.68	+1.8%	68%	121	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
32	MA🆕	Stock	500d High · +4.2% +2	▲ Long	1.67	+1.7%	67%	114	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
33	MCD🆕	Stock	+2.7% / 1d · +2.3σ +1	▲ Long	1.65	+1.7%	69%	130	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
34	XLK🆕	ETF	65d Touch · +0.1% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.65	+2.1%	70%	115	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯

Bucket 2 · WATCHeligible but lower conviction / thinner sample / near-trigger

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	IBM🆕	Stock	+13.9% / 15d · +2.3σ +2	▲ Long	1.63	+1.6%	61%	118	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡rangeclose×3
2	BA	Stock	Decile extreme · -7.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.62	+2.3%	64%	129	◆ Fade	⚡
3	IWB🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.61	+1.7%	68%	127	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
4	VWO🆕	ETF	Stretch Z-extreme · Z -2.0 +1	▲ Long	1.59	+4.3%	68%	25	◆ Fade	⚡
5	IVV🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.59	+1.8%	66%	115	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
6	MSFT	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 3d ago	▲ Long	1.59	+2.2%	67%	96	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
7	VOO🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.58	+1.7%	67%	177	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
8	TXN🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +8.3% vs 21d · top 10% +1	▲ Long	1.57	+1.6%	63%	371	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡rangeclose×2
9	SPY🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.55	+1.7%	67%	183	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
10	BLK🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +6.3% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	1.52	+2.3%	61%	130	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
11	TJX🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.52	+2.1%	65%	217	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
12	QQQ	ETF	65d Touch · -1.0% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.52	+2.0%	70%	103	◆ Fade	🎯
13	T	Stock	Stretch Z-extreme · Z -2.3 +1	▲ Long	1.45	+3.1%	81%	26	◆ Fade	⚡
14	PGR🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +4.7% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	1.42	+1.9%	67%	128	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
15	DGRO🆕	ETF	+5.6% / 15d · +2.7σ +1	▲ Long	1.42	+1.5%	69%	93	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
16	SOXX/SPYV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -6.0% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.41	+2.1%	62%	129	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
17	VIG🆕	ETF	+1.3% / 1d · +2.7σ +1	▲ Long	1.38	+1.5%	66%	125	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
18	TMUS	Stock	Decile extreme · -5.8% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.36	+2.1%	59%	109	◆ Fade	⚡
19	SCHD🆕	ETF	+7.4% / 15d · +2.5σ +1	▲ Long	1.36	+1.4%	69%	115	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
20	KRE/QQQ🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +5.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	1.34	-2.1%	42%	127	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
21	JNJ	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.9% vs 21d · top 10% +1	▲ Long	1.32	+1.7%	69%	131	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
22	SMH/SPYV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.29	+1.9%	62%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
23	SMH/IWD	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.23	+1.8%	63%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
24	JPM🆕	Stock	+2.9% / 3d · +2.0σ	▲ Long	1.21	+1.8%	60%	82	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊
25	XLK/XLP	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.2% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.19	+1.8%	60%	136	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
26	V🆕	Stock	+2.5% / 1d · +2.0σ +1	▲ Long	1.17	+1.4%	62%	111	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
27	NXPI🆕	Stock	Completed reversal from the low · clr 99 · net +5.7% · rng 7.8% · rank #2	▲ Long	1.15	+1.9%	61%	347	◆ Fade	rangeclose
28	QUAL🆕	ETF	65d Reclaim · +0.6% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.09	+1.4%	68%	96	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯
29	VTV🆕	ETF	+4.2% / 15d · +2.4σ +1	▲ Long	1.09	+1.2%	65%	130	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
30	BAC	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago)	▲ Long	1.08	+3.6%	63%	19	◆ Fade	🔀
31	QQQ/IWM🆕	Ratio	-2.3% / 1d · -2.1σ +1	▲ Long	1.04	+1.3%	60%	131	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
32	RUA🆕	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.99	+1.4%	65%	184	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
33	ORCL	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.98	+1.5%	60%	201	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
34	SCHF	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.98	+1.4%	63%	194	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
35	VEA	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.97	+1.4%	63%	190	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
36	DHR🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.2% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.95	+1.4%	64%	129	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
37	SLV/SIL	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.95	+1.5%	58%	57	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
38	RSP	ETF	65d Touch · +2.0% vs 65d	▲ Long	0.92	+1.3%	63%	111	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯
39	VYM🆕	ETF	+4.1% / 15d · +2.3σ +1	▲ Long	0.89	+1.0%	64%	134	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
40	SPX🆕	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.89	+1.2%	65%	182	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
41	SPYV/SPMO🆕	Ratio	Stretch Z-extreme · Z +2.0 +1	▼ Short	0.85	-2.7%	22%	18	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
42	^NDX/^RUT	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.85	+1.3%	59%	130	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
43	PG	Stock	Decile extreme · +4.2% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.84	+1.2%	64%	132	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
44	SPMO/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.81	+1.1%	66%	86	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
45	ACN	Stock	Decile extreme · +10.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.79	+1.2%	58%	119	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
46	SPY/XHB🆕	Ratio	21d Low · -3.6% +1	▲ Long	0.74	+1.6%	70%	20	◆ Fade · pair	🚀⚡×2
47	JEPI🆕	ETF	+1.2% / 2d · +2.5σ	▲ Long	0.70	+1.4%	85%	27	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊
48	SPY/XLU🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -3.6% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.69	+1.1%	60%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
49	MDT🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.4% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.69	+1.1%	61%	139	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
50	MTUM/USMV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.7% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.68	+1.0%	65%	99	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
51	XLG/IJR🆕	Ratio	-2.6% / 1d · -2.5σ +1	▲ Long	0.59	+0.8%	55%	124	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
52	KRE/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +3.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.58	-1.0%	46%	123	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
53	MUB🆕	ETF	+3.1% / 15d · +2.4σ +1	▲ Long	0.56	+0.6%	69%	62	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
54	HON🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.8w ago)	▼ Short	0.54	-1.4%	42%	24	◆ Fade	🔀
55	XLG/RSP🆕	Ratio	-2.2% / 1d · -2.1σ +1	▲ Long	0.45	+0.6%	60%	121	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
56	SPHB/SPLV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.45	+0.8%	52%	121	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
57	MTUM/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.6% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.43	+0.7%	59%	103	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
58	MTUM/RSP	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.42	+0.7%	56%	98	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
59	^NDX/^GSPC🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.39	+0.6%	58%	130	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
60	MTUM/SPYV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.39	+0.6%	55%	95	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
61	MTUM/VLUE🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -3.2% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.37	+0.6%	58%	99	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
62	GDX/GDXJ	Ratio	Stretch Z-extreme · Z +2.3	▼ Short	0.36	-1.9%	31%	13	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
63	SPY/RSP🆕	Ratio	-1.5% / 1d · -2.1σ +1	▲ Long	0.36	+0.4%	62%	128	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
64	QQQ/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.34	+0.5%	57%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
65	XLP/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +3.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.34	-0.6%	44%	125	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
66	RSP/QQQE	Ratio	Decile extreme · +3.2% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.34	-0.5%	43%	112	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
67	SPY/XLB🆕	Ratio	-6.7% / 15d · -2.0σ +1	▲ Long	0.33	+0.4%	56%	126	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
68	ITW🆕	Stock	Completed reversal from the low · clr 100 · net +1.9% · rng 2.1% · rank #4	▲ Long	0.31	+0.5%	60%	346	◆ Fade	rangeclose
69	VLUE/SPYV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.31	+0.5%	59%	98	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
70	SPLV/SPY	Ratio	Decile extreme · +4.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.30	-0.5%	47%	111	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
71	SPYV/SPY	Ratio	Decile extreme · +2.8% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.29	-0.4%	39%	127	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
72	META/QQQ🆕	Ratio	-13.7% / 10d · -2.0σ +1	▲ Long	0.28	+0.4%	53%	104	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
73	^RUI/^RUT🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.26	+0.4%	57%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
74	NEM vs GLD	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago)	▲ Long	0.25	+0.4%	55%	44	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
75	XMMO/MDY	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.2% vs 21d · bottom 10% +1	▲ Long	0.24	+0.4%	58%	132	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
76	MBB	ETF	Decile extreme · +1.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.23	+0.3%	63%	118	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
77	IWF/IWD	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.22	+0.4%	55%	126	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
78	USMV/SPY	Ratio	Decile extreme · +2.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.22	-0.4%	46%	114	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
79	^RUT/^GSPC🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +2.3% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.21	-0.3%	46%	131	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
80	SPY/EWC	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.8% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.20	+0.3%	55%	136	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
81	EWC/SPY	Ratio	Decile extreme · +2.8% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.20	-0.3%	44%	135	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
82	NEM vs Gold	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago)	▲ Long	0.19	+0.4%	51%	37	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
83	SPY/IWM🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.5% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.18	+0.3%	54%	127	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
84	QQQ/IWV🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.2% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.18	+0.3%	54%	134	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
85	^GSPC/RSP🆕	Ratio	-1.5% / 1d · -2.0σ +1	▲ Long	0.17	+0.2%	56%	127	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
86	RSP/^GSPC🆕	Ratio	+1.5% / 1d · +2.1σ +1	▼ Short	0.17	-0.2%	44%	127	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
87	KBWB vs SPY	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago)	▲ Long	0.16	+0.3%	53%	43	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
88	IWM/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +2.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.12	-0.2%	47%	128	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
89	CB🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +3.9% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.10	-0.2%	49%	132	◆ Fade	⚡
90	ZS (Soybeans)	Commodity	Summer thrust ≥ 4% (front-loaded momentum)	▲ Long	0.09	+0.6%	62%	8	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🌾
91	SPY/XLF	Ratio	Decile extreme · -3.5% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.08	+0.1%	53%	129	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
92	QUAL/USMV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.08	+0.1%	52%	96	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
93	SPY/XLV🆕	Ratio	Stretch Z-extreme · Z -2.2 +1	▲ Long	0.06	+0.1%	51%	134	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
94	QQQ/QQQE🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -1.7% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.03	+0.1%	52%	113	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
95	BRK-B🆕	Stock	+6.1% / 15d · +2.2σ	▼ Short	0.02	-0.1%	46%	37	◆ Fade	📊

Bucket 3 · PARKEDmomentum / trend signals with no supporting forward edge — failed the Soybean gate

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	PLTR🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.88	+4.0%	58%	64	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🔀⚡×2
2	CRM🆕	Stock	-4.6% / 1d · -2.1σ +2	▲ Long	2.28	+2.3%	59%	107	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡🎯×3
3	MS	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.8w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.08	+2.6%	59%	194	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🔀⚡×2
4	GS	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago	▲ Long	1.22	+2.6%	56%	41	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
5	C🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.21	+1.9%	59%	194	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
6	AIWIN/SMH🆕	Ratio	-7.6% / 3d · -2.2σ +1	▲ Long	1.16	+1.5%	57%	61	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
7	BSX	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	1.01	+2.2%	55%	38	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
8	GC=F/^NDX	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▼ Short	0.97	-1.4%	39%	79	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
9	DE🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago	▼ Short	0.94	-1.7%	45%	91	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
10	IWM	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.90	+1.4%	59%	208	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
11	CVX	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.3% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.89	+1.4%	59%	123	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
12	AMD	Stock	65d Reclaim · +6.2% vs 65d	▲ Long	0.84	+1.3%	57%	58	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🎯
13	ELV🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	0.82	+1.3%	59%	88	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
14	RTY	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.81	+1.3%	58%	210	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
15	GLD/QQQ	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago	▼ Short	0.77	-1.2%	41%	80	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
16	SYK	Stock	Decile extreme · +6.9% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.73	+1.1%	57%	129	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
17	GILD🆕	Stock	500d High · +4.0% +2	▲ Long	0.68	+1.0%	59%	27	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🚀📊⚡×3
18	SPY/HD	Ratio	Decile extreme · -8.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.67	-1.1%	42%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
19	CSCO	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.64	+1.1%	54%	182	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
20	QCOM	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 3d ago	▲ Long	0.60	+0.9%	58%	76	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
21	ADI🆕	Stock	+12.3% / 5d · +2.4σ +1	▲ Long	0.55	+0.7%	57%	134	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
22	RTX🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.53	+0.8%	56%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
23	WMT	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.9% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.49	+0.8%	55%	112	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
24	NFLX🆕	Stock	-14.5% / 10d · -2.1σ +1	▼ Short	0.47	-0.7%	49%	126	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
25	SO	Stock	Decile extreme · +4.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.45	+0.8%	55%	133	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
26	PSCE/IJR	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▼ Short	0.45	-0.7%	42%	182	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
27	XLY/XLP🆕	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	0.44	+0.8%	57%	44	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
28	EMXC/SPY🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.43	-0.7%	43%	69	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
29	IWD🆕	ETF	+3.5% / 15d · +2.3σ	▲ Long	0.41	+0.8%	55%	40	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊
30	XMMO/MTUM🆕	Ratio	+2.0% / 1d · +2.5σ +2	▼ Short	0.29	-0.4%	45%	173	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
31	UNP🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.29	+0.5%	54%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
32	^VVIX/^VIX	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▼ Short	0.26	-0.5%	49%	239	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
33	VLUE/SPY	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▼ Short	0.21	-0.3%	41%	176	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
34	DUK	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.2% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.20	+0.3%	52%	139	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
35	XLK/XLE🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.19	-0.3%	48%	119	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
36	VRTX	Stock	65d Touch · +4.1% vs 65d	▲ Long	0.17	+0.3%	51%	72	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🎯
37	NQ=F/CL=F	Ratio	Decile extreme · -10.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.12	-0.2%	49%	130	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
38	AAPL/QQQ🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +4.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.11	+0.2%	54%	130	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
39	AGG	ETF	Decile extreme · +1.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.11	+0.2%	57%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
40	GOVT🆕	ETF	Decile extreme · +1.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.10	+0.2%	54%	112	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
41	BND	ETF	Decile extreme · +1.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.10	+0.2%	55%	132	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
42	XLI/SPY	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▼ Short	0.08	-0.1%	46%	197	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
43	SPY/XLI	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.08	+0.1%	54%	197	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
44	VZ	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 4d ago	▲ Long	0.06	+0.1%	52%	50	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
45	AMGN	Stock	Decile extreme · +7.9% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	50%	131	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
46	QUAL/SPY🆕	Ratio	+1.1% / 1d · +2.6σ	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	55%	77	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊
47	MRK🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.02	+0.0%	51%	89	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡

How to read it. STORM = |21d median edge| × sample × win-conviction, boosted ×confluence when several scanners flag the same name (the ×N tag) and ×1.1 when the 5-day edge confirms the 21-day. Dir is taken from the edge (sign of the 21-day median), not the naive bias. The Thesis chip: ◆ Fade = on-mandate reversion; ⚡ Mom ✓ edge = momentum the study earns; ⚡ Mom ✗ no edge = parked. Click any instrument or scanner to open the underlying research. Momentum is edge-gated at either horizon — a front-loaded edge (e.g. Soybeans' 10-day thrust) earns a seat via the 5-day study even if the 21-day has faded. New Highs/Lows joins next (it needs per-name forward-edge computation).