Alpha Query — The Board

◆ The thesis — fade behavioral exhaustion

Enter at the point of maximum stress reversal: probability-first, exit-before-entry, sized by edge. Every extreme below is scored by STORM and gated by this thesis. Fade/reversion setups pass by default. Momentum must earn its seat — a trend signal reaches Bucket 1 only when its own forward study clears win ≥ 60% and n ≥ 8 in the trade's direction (the Soybean rule); otherwise it is parked. Read the first principles ›

Names

199

160L / 39S

◎ Bucket 1 · Act

thesis-cleared

Bucket 2 · Watch

117

lower conviction

Bucket 3 · Parked

momentum, no edge

Confluence

multi-scanner names

◆ Best Odds · by strike ratethe same graded field re-sorted by 21-day WIN% (n ≥ 20) — highest historical odds first, regardless of STORM score. Note: raw odds favour low-move index ETFs; weigh Win% against the 21d edge.

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	IJR	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.88	+3.7%	83%	30	◆ Fade	🔀🎯×2
2	JEPI🆕	ETF	-1.1% / 3d · -2.3σ +1	▲ Long	1.62	+2.4%	83%	30	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
3	BRK-B	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	1.43	+2.5%	77%	22	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀🎯×2
4	Vol-of-vol vs VIX	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	3.49	+8.0%	76%	21	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
5	AVGO	Stock	Decile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	4.67	+5.7%	75%	128	◆ Fade	⚡
6	MS	Stock	65d Reclaim · -0.8% vs 65d	▲ Long	4.01	+4.9%	74%	61	◆ Fade	🎯
7	LLY🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	4.67	+4.0%	74%	38	◆ Fade	🔀⚡🎯×3
8	SPY vs TLT	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	2.84	+3.6%	72%	47	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
9	RTX🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	3.16	+4.9%	70%	27	◆ Fade	🔀⚡×2
10	PG🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +2	▲ Long	1.22	+2.1%	70%	37	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
11	KLAC	Stock	Decile extreme · -8.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	2.61	+3.4%	69%	126	◆ Fade	⚡
12	XOM🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.26	+1.7%	69%	75	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
13	VCSH	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.17	+0.2%	69%	171	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
14	CRWD🆕	Stock	500d High · +5.8% +2	▲ Long	5.30	+5.8%	68%	41	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
15	TJX🆕	Stock	-15.4% / 15d · -2.8σ +2	▲ Long	2.98	+3.2%	68%	127	◆ Fade	📊⚡×2
16	HON	Stock	Decile extreme · -6.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.98	+2.6%	68%	124	◆ Fade	⚡
17	NDX	Index	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.01	+2.6%	68%	37	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
18	QQQ	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	2.17	+2.2%	68%	38	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡🎯×3

◆ Research Watchconditional setups drawn from your studies — human judgement, NOT scanner-scored · a watch is not a position until its trigger fires

HG1 · Copper via CPER / COPX

WAIT Long — conditional

Close-basis breakout under live resistance. The quant cohort places it in the 2025–26 tariff regime, which retests 7–15% lower before resolving positive at 26 weeks — a TEF setup: fade the exhaustion print, exit-before-entry, size by the thin edge.

EntryDo NOT chase the 6.52 breakout. Accumulate the structural dip ~7–15% lower (≈ 5.55–6.06).

InvalidateWeekly close < ~6.14 shelf → failed breakout, stand down.

ConfirmLME must participate in any take-out of the 6.716 intraday ATH — otherwise it's a false, HG-only move.

SizeSmall starter only — heavy sample-size discount (n=9). Quarter-Kelly at most.

Horizon13–26 wks for the +25.5% higher-highs; 4–8 wks is a coin flip (modal −7% to −15% retest first).

HedgeShort spread leg / LME-linked; avoid unhedged long COMEX into the tariff policy window.

⚠ AI-generated briefing (NotebookLM). The stats (n=9, +25.5%, −21.2% worst DD, Jun-30-'25 analog) are the notebook's, not verified market data — re-derive the copper event study against real HG1 history before sizing real money.

📄 open study ↗📊 base rate ↗watch since 2026-07-20 · promote via promote.py when triggered

◎ Bucket 1 · ACThigh-conviction, thesis-cleared — STORM ≥ 60th-pctile & n ≥ 8 (fades on-thesis; momentum edge-gated)

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	CRWD🆕	Stock	500d High · +5.8% +2	▲ Long	5.30	+5.8%	68%	41	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊⚡×3
2	TSLA🆕	Stock	21d High · +5.5% +1	▲ Long	5.12	+6.2%	60%	154	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀📊×2
3	^VIX/^VXN	Ratio	Decile extreme · +7.7% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	4.81	-6.0%	27%	158	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
4	AVGO	Stock	Decile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	4.67	+5.7%	75%	128	◆ Fade	⚡
5	LLY🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	4.67	+4.0%	74%	38	◆ Fade	🔀⚡🎯×3
6	GEV🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 75 · rng 2.4%	▲ Long	4.26	+6.7%	66%	82	◆ Fade	rangeclose
7	MS	Stock	65d Reclaim · -0.8% vs 65d	▲ Long	4.01	+4.9%	74%	61	◆ Fade	🎯
8	Vol-of-vol vs VIX	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	3.49	+8.0%	76%	21	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
9	RTX🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	3.16	+4.9%	70%	27	◆ Fade	🔀⚡×2
10	TJX🆕	Stock	-15.4% / 15d · -2.8σ +2	▲ Long	2.98	+3.2%	68%	127	◆ Fade	📊⚡×2
11	AMZN🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.90	+3.4%	63%	83	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
12	IJR	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.88	+3.7%	83%	30	◆ Fade	🔀🎯×2
13	SPY vs TLT	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	2.84	+3.6%	72%	47	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
14	KLAC	Stock	Decile extreme · -8.3% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	2.61	+3.4%	69%	126	◆ Fade	⚡
15	GE🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.50	+2.9%	62%	121	◆ Fade	🔀⚡×2
16	DE🆕	Stock	21d High · +3.9% +2	▲ Long	2.41	+2.3%	63%	127	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🚀🔀⚡×3
17	UNP🆕	Stock	-2.2% / 1d · -2.1σ	▲ Long	2.40	+3.3%	66%	107	◆ Fade	📊
18	ETN	Stock	Decile extreme · -7.2% vs 21d · bottom 10% +1	▲ Long	2.38	+2.9%	59%	138	◆ Fade	⚡🎯×2
19	XLK	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.25	+3.0%	65%	34	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
20	QQQ	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	2.17	+2.2%	68%	38	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡🎯×3
21	WMT	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	2.13	+2.3%	67%	129	◆ Fade	🔀⚡×2
22	NDX	Index	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	2.01	+2.6%	68%	37	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
23	HON	Stock	Decile extreme · -6.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.98	+2.6%	68%	124	◆ Fade	⚡
24	BA	Stock	Decile extreme · -7.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	1.98	+2.7%	66%	126	◆ Fade	⚡
25	DHR	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	1.86	+2.6%	67%	39	◆ Fade	🔀
26	LRCX	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	1.80	+2.7%	60%	194	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
27	NOW🆕	Stock	+17.6% / 3d · +2.9σ +3	▲ Long	1.80	+3.1%	60%	397	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡rangeclose×3
28	NVDA	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	1.79	+2.1%	63%	94	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀⚡×2
29	BKNG	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	1.73	+2.6%	61%	179	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
30	JEPI🆕	ETF	-1.1% / 3d · -2.3σ +1	▲ Long	1.62	+2.4%	83%	30	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
31	BRK-B	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	1.43	+2.5%	77%	22	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🔀🎯×2
32	PLD	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago +1	▲ Long	1.38	+2.0%	62%	195	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
33	NDAQ🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 80 · rng 2.1%	▲ Long	1.36	+2.7%	62%	256	◆ Fade	rangeclose
34	IVW	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	1.32	+1.8%	68%	110	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
35	VB🆕	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 3d ago +1	▲ Long	1.31	+1.5%	63%	103	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
36	VO	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	1.30	+1.8%	65%	189	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
37	VGT	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	1.29	+1.8%	67%	96	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
38	XOM🆕	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.26	+1.7%	69%	75	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
39	IWF	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	1.26	+1.8%	63%	103	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
40	AAPL	Stock	65d Touch · +2.3% vs 65d	▲ Long	1.26	+1.8%	63%	71	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🎯

Bucket 2 · WATCHeligible but lower conviction / thinner sample / near-trigger

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	VOO🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.25	+1.7%	67%	174	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
2	ITOT🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.25	+1.7%	66%	179	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
3	IDXX🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 74 · rng 3.2%	▲ Long	1.25	+2.6%	62%	383	◆ Fade	rangeclose
4	SPY🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.24	+1.7%	67%	181	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
5	VT🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.24	+1.7%	68%	188	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
6	SMH/IWD	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	1.24	+1.8%	62%	208	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
7	VTI🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.23	+1.7%	66%	180	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
8	VV🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.22	+1.7%	67%	177	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
9	PG🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +2	▲ Long	1.22	+2.1%	70%	37	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
10	EQIX🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 89 · rng 2.3%	▲ Long	1.22	+2.4%	63%	362	◆ Fade	rangeclose
11	IVV🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.20	+1.6%	67%	178	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
12	ABT🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.18	+1.8%	61%	205	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
13	VUG🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.16	+1.6%	64%	171	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
14	RSP🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.16	+1.6%	65%	187	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
15	IWB🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.16	+1.6%	66%	176	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
16	SRE🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 71 · rng 3.5%	▲ Long	1.10	+2.2%	62%	237	◆ Fade	rangeclose
17	XLF🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	1.09	+1.6%	61%	190	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
18	C	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	1.08	+2.4%	67%	24	◆ Fade	🔀
19	IWM	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago +1	▲ Long	1.07	+1.3%	62%	203	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡🎯×2
20	SMH vs SPYV	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	1.07	+1.6%	65%	54	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
21	VIG	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	1.06	+1.5%	64%	181	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
22	QUAL	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	1.03	+1.5%	63%	131	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
23	STX🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 90 · rng 2.7%	▲ Long	1.01	+3.3%	58%	409	◆ Fade	rangeclose
24	DIA🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	1.00	+1.4%	63%	172	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
25	COST	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago	▲ Long	1.00	+1.5%	62%	102	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
26	RUA🆕	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.99	+1.4%	65%	182	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
27	BAC	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.97	+3.5%	61%	18	◆ Fade	🔀
28	Semis vs S&P	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.97	+1.4%	62%	48	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
29	SOXX vs SPYV	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.95	+1.4%	62%	53	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
30	SPX🆕	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.95	+1.3%	66%	180	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
31	SMH/SPYV	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.95	+1.4%	62%	213	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
32	SMH/SPY	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.89	+1.3%	62%	207	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
33	MCD🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.88	+1.9%	53%	32	◆ Fade	🔀
34	VTV🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.88	+1.3%	62%	174	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
35	DJIA	Index	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.82	+1.2%	61%	174	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
36	VYM	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.82	+1.2%	62%	185	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
37	IWD🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.81	+1.2%	61%	183	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
38	EXC🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 87 · rng 1.8%	▲ Long	0.81	+1.6%	63%	272	◆ Fade	rangeclose
39	SCHF🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.78	+1.1%	63%	188	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
40	OEX	Index	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.77	+1.1%	63%	107	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
41	EFA	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.76	+1.1%	64%	193	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
42	DGRO	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.75	+1.1%	60%	130	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
43	^NDX/^RUT🆕	Ratio	+2.5% / 3d · +2.4σ +2	▲ Long	0.73	+0.8%	64%	88	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
44	ACN	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.9% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.69	+1.1%	57%	118	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
45	HD🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · -3.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.68	+1.1%	56%	124	◆ Fade	⚡
46	IEFA🆕	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.67	+1.0%	61%	161	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
47	PLTR🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.66	+4.8%	56%	9	◆ Fade	🔀
48	NEE	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.66	+1.7%	61%	23	◆ Fade	🔀
49	SO	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +1	▲ Long	0.66	+0.8%	58%	117	◆ Fade	🔀⚡×2
50	BLK🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 80 · rng 1.4%	▲ Long	0.65	+2.1%	58%	322	◆ Fade	rangeclose
51	KBWB vs SPY	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.62	+1.1%	66%	32	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
52	QQQ/IWM🆕	Ratio	+2.5% / 3d · +2.4σ +1	▲ Long	0.59	+0.7%	62%	89	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	📊⚡×2
53	MTUM vs S&P500 EW	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.55	+0.9%	62%	45	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
54	KRE vs QQQ	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.55	-1.0%	41%	34	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
55	ES=F/ZN=F	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.55	+0.8%	64%	118	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
56	EL🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 62 · rng 2.4%	▲ Long	0.55	+1.8%	58%	327	◆ Fade	rangeclose
57	SMH vs IWD	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.52	+0.8%	59%	54	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
58	XLY/XLP	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago	▲ Long	0.49	+0.9%	60%	42	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
59	GDXJ vs GLD	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.49	-0.9%	43%	37	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
60	CAT	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.48	-1.1%	43%	28	◆ Fade	🔀
61	XLY vs XLP	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.45	+0.8%	54%	41	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
62	XLK vs XLP	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.45	+0.8%	56%	55	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
63	Semis vs Nasdaq EW	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.44	+0.7%	57%	47	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
64	ADP	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.43	+0.9%	56%	32	◆ Fade	🔀
65	Nasdaq 100 vs S&P 500	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.43	+0.6%	62%	52	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
66	XLI/SPY🆕	Ratio	-3.0% / 3d · -2.6σ +1	▲ Long	0.42	+0.6%	57%	125	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
67	SPY/XLI🆕	Ratio	+3.1% / 3d · +2.7σ +1	▼ Short	0.42	-0.6%	43%	126	◆ Fade · pair	📊⚡×2
68	ADI	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.42	-1.2%	42%	24	◆ Fade	🔀
69	CSCO	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.42	+0.8%	54%	41	◆ Fade	🔀
70	MTUM vs SPYV	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.41	+0.7%	52%	52	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
71	SPY vs IWM	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.40	-0.6%	37%	38	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
72	XLP vs SPY	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.39	-0.6%	39%	41	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
73	QQQ vs SPY	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.35	+0.6%	58%	53	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
74	MTUM/SPYV	Ratio	Decile extreme · -2.5% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.35	+0.6%	54%	94	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
75	ISRG🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 96 · rng 3.2%	▲ Long	0.34	+1.5%	56%	364	◆ Fade	rangeclose
76	PSCE/IJR🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +5.7% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.33	-0.6%	46%	118	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
77	SPY/XHB🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · +4.2% vs 21d · top 10%	▼ Short	0.32	-0.6%	48%	133	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
78	Nasdaq 100 vs Russell 2000🆕	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.31	+0.6%	58%	31	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
79	SPY vs XLRE🆕	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.29	+0.7%	60%	25	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
80	Russell 1000 vs Russell 2000	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.28	-0.5%	40%	42	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
81	SPY vs HD	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.28	+0.6%	56%	32	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
82	SMH	ETF	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.26	+0.5%	50%	36	◆ Fade	🔀
83	S&P500 EW vs Nasdaq EW	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.25	-0.5%	40%	35	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
84	Russell 2000 vs S&P 500	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.25	+0.4%	59%	41	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
85	QQQ vs IWM🆕	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.24	+0.5%	59%	29	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
86	BNDX	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 4d ago	▲ Long	0.23	+0.3%	60%	75	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
87	XLI vs SPY	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.22	-0.5%	47%	36	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
88	^NDX/^GSPC	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.22	+0.4%	56%	193	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
89	WAT🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 88 · rng 2.4%	▲ Long	0.22	+1.1%	55%	362	◆ Fade	rangeclose
90	QQQ/QQQE🆕	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.20	+0.3%	60%	202	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
91	MSTR vs IBIT	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.19	-3.8%	50%	4	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
92	Copper miners vs Gold	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.19	-0.4%	50%	36	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
93	EMXC vs SPY	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.19	-0.7%	44%	18	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
94	KBWB/XLF🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -1.9% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.18	+0.3%	52%	107	◆ Fade · pair	⚡
95	High-yield vs Inv-grade	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.17	+0.3%	61%	33	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
96	VCSH	ETF	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.17	+0.2%	69%	171	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
97	QQQ vs IWV	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.16	-0.3%	46%	52	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
98	^RUI/^RUT🆕	Ratio	+1.7% / 3d · +2.2σ	▼ Short	0.15	-0.3%	47%	73	◆ Fade · pair	📊
99	IWF vs IWD	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.15	+0.2%	54%	56	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
100	EEM vs SPY	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.14	-0.3%	45%	31	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
101	HYG/LQD	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.14	+0.2%	55%	75	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
102	SPY vs XLF	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.12	+0.2%	52%	40	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
103	VRTX🆕	Stock	Range-close hammer · clr 84 · rng 2.7%	▲ Long	0.10	+0.5%	54%	400	◆ Fade	rangeclose
104	IWM/SPY🆕	Ratio	-1.8% / 3d · -2.2σ	▲ Long	0.10	+0.2%	51%	74	◆ Fade · pair	📊
105	SPY vs EWC🆕	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (0.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.10	-0.2%	44%	43	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
106	HD vs WMT	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.09	-0.2%	49%	53	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
107	V	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.09	-0.1%	44%	36	◆ Fade	🔀
108	KBWB vs XLF	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.09	-0.2%	50%	36	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
109	ZS (Soybeans)	Commodity	Summer thrust ≥ 4% (front-loaded momentum)	▲ Long	0.09	+0.6%	62%	8	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	🌾
110	^RUT/^GSPC🆕	Ratio	-1.8% / 3d · -2.1σ	▲ Long	0.07	+0.1%	53%	70	◆ Fade · pair	📊
111	Semis EW vs S&P	Ratio	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.06	-0.1%	49%	43	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
112	Value vs Momentum	Ratio	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▲ Long	0.06	+0.2%	57%	23	◆ Fade · pair	🔀
113	KKR	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (2.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.06	-0.2%	50%	30	◆ Fade	🔀
114	LOW🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	52%	131	◆ Fade	⚡
115	MBB	ETF	21d Alignment cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	62%	24	⚡ Mom ✓ edge	⚡
116	SPY/IWM🆕	Ratio	+1.8% / 3d · +2.2σ	▼ Short	0.03	-0.1%	50%	78	◆ Fade · pair	📊
117	PGR	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago)	▼ Short	0.02	-0.1%	48%	27	◆ Fade	🔀

Bucket 3 · PARKEDmomentum / trend signals with no supporting forward edge — failed the Soybean gate

#	Instrument	Class	Signal	Dir	STORM	21d	Win	n	Thesis	Scanners
1	ADBE🆕	Stock	Bullish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	1.95	+3.6%	52%	25	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🔀⚡rangeclose×3
2	XLE/TAN🆕	Ratio	21d High · +4.4% +1	▲ Long	1.77	+2.3%	56%	113	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🚀⚡×2
3	CRM🆕	Stock	+25.3% / 3d · +2.8σ +3	▲ Long	1.70	+2.1%	55%	134	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊🔀⚡×3
4	^VVIX/^VIX🆕	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▼ Short	1.36	-2.1%	42%	106	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
5	REGN🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago +1	▲ Long	1.18	+2.7%	59%	384	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡rangeclose×2
6	META	Stock	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▼ Short	1.14	-3.0%	39%	28	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
7	WFC🆕	Stock	Bearish outside-reversal week (1.2w ago) +2	▲ Long	1.10	+1.4%	56%	71	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🔀⚡×2
8	GS	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago	▲ Long	1.04	+1.6%	58%	199	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
9	TMUS	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago +1	▲ Long	0.70	+1.1%	56%	195	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
10	T	Stock	Decile extreme · +4.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.70	+1.1%	59%	118	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
11	SPY/XLE🆕	Ratio	Decile extreme · -4.4% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.67	-1.1%	45%	115	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
12	ELV🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.59	+1.0%	56%	193	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
13	QCOM🆕	Stock	21d High · +3.8%	▲ Long	0.56	+0.9%	57%	74	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	🚀
14	^TNX/^GSPC	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 4d ago	▼ Short	0.50	-0.9%	44%	80	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
15	SCHW	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.48	+0.8%	56%	184	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
16	UBER🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▼ Short	0.47	-0.8%	44%	86	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
17	XLK/XLP	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.37	+0.6%	57%	84	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
18	PFE🆕	Stock	Decile extreme · +4.8% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.36	+0.6%	51%	117	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
19	IBM	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.33	+0.5%	56%	188	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
20	QQQ/IWV	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.31	+0.5%	59%	197	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
21	AMD	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.24	+0.4%	52%	185	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
22	GDX/GLD	Ratio	Decile extreme · +5.1% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.24	+0.5%	52%	128	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
23	SPY/XLRE	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.22	+0.4%	53%	60	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
24	IWF/IWD	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago +1	▲ Long	0.22	+0.3%	59%	189	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
25	META/QQQ	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.21	+0.6%	51%	35	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
26	SPY/XLF	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 5d ago +1	▼ Short	0.21	-0.3%	40%	57	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
27	SPY/RSP🆕	Ratio	+1.4% / 3d · +2.0σ +1	▲ Long	0.20	+0.3%	58%	76	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
28	GLD/GDX	Ratio	Decile extreme · -5.1% vs 21d · bottom 10%	▼ Short	0.18	-0.3%	48%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
29	SPYV/SPY	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 1d ago +1	▼ Short	0.18	-0.3%	39%	247	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
30	XLG/RSP🆕	Ratio	+2.0% / 3d · +2.1σ +1	▲ Long	0.17	+0.2%	56%	79	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊⚡×2
31	QQQ/SPY	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.17	+0.3%	57%	200	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
32	SPY/HD	Ratio	Decile extreme · +3.7% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.12	+0.2%	53%	127	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
33	PM🆕	Stock	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago +1	▲ Long	0.11	+0.2%	52%	178	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
34	^GVZ/^VIX🆕	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▼ Short	0.06	-0.1%	49%	297	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
35	AAPL/QQQ	Ratio	21d Alignment cross · crossed 3d ago	▼ Short	0.06	-0.1%	49%	74	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
36	SPY/EWC🆕	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	51%	211	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
37	EWC/SPY🆕	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 0d ago	▼ Short	0.04	-0.1%	49%	210	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
38	XLG/IJR🆕	Ratio	+2.4% / 3d · +2.6σ	▲ Long	0.04	+0.1%	51%	86	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	📊
39	MRK	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.6% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.03	+0.1%	50%	128	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
40	CME	Stock	Decile extreme · +5.5% vs 21d · top 10%	▲ Long	0.03	+0.1%	51%	130	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
41	^GSPC/RSP	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▲ Long	0.02	+0.0%	51%	210	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡
42	RSP/^GSPC	Ratio	Fresh 21d cross · crossed 2d ago	▼ Short	0.02	-0.0%	49%	211	⚡ Mom ✗ no edge	⚡

How to read it. STORM = |21d median edge| × sample × win-conviction, boosted ×confluence when several scanners flag the same name (the ×N tag) and ×1.1 when the 5-day edge confirms the 21-day. Dir is taken from the edge (sign of the 21-day median), not the naive bias. The Thesis chip: ◆ Fade = on-mandate reversion; ⚡ Mom ✓ edge = momentum the study earns; ⚡ Mom ✗ no edge = parked. Click any instrument or scanner to open the underlying research. Momentum is edge-gated at either horizon — a front-loaded edge (e.g. Soybeans' 10-day thrust) earns a seat via the 5-day study even if the 21-day has faded. New Highs/Lows joins next (it needs per-name forward-edge computation).